117
FXUS62 KILM 260356
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1156 PM EDT SUN OCT 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED HEADLINES SECTION, GALE WARNING EXPIRED FOR NEAR SHORE
WATERS, SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT.
KEY MESSAGES
1) MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND HAZARDOUS MARINE/SURF CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED AT LEAST INTO MID WEEK.
2) HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK BRINGING GENERALLY
DRY WEATHER AND COASTAL BREEZES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND HAZARDOUS MARINE/SURF
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT LEAST INTO MID WEEK.
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF ENHANCED NORTHEAST WINDS DUE TO STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING HAZARDOUS MARINE/SURF CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NE
SC AND SE NC COASTS AND NEARBY ATLANTIC WATERS. HIGH
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL LEAD TO MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.
COASTAL FLOODING: MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY DURING EACH HIGH
TIDE CYCLE THROUGH AT LEAST TUE AM, WITH THE HIGHEST TIDES IN THE
MORNING.
HIGH SURF: HIGH SEAS UP NEAR 10 FT WITHIN 20 NM WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
6 FT SURF HEIGHTS EARLY THIS WEEK, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE BEACHES
OF NEW HANOVER COUNTY. IN ADDITION, THE LARGE WAVES COUPLED
WITH HIGH WATER LEVELS COULD RESULT IN SOME EROSION, ESPECIALLY
FOR E-FACING BEACHES.
KEY MESSAGE 2...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK
BRINGING GENERALLY DRY WEATHER AND COASTAL BREEZES.
PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO THE NORTH WILL DOMINATE THE
WEATHER PATTERN LEADING TO MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS AND COASTAL
BREEZES. GENERALLY NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY
BECOME ABOVE NORMAL MID TO LATE WEEK, ESPECIALLY DAYTIME HIGHS.
AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
VFR WITH NORTH WINDS. INLAND SPEEDS MAY DROP TO ~6 KTS WHILE
COASTAL SITES WILL REMAIN ~9 KTS. AFTER SUNRISE SPEEDS WILL BE
AROUND 10-12 KTS THROUGH THE DAY.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK: VFR TO PREVAIL WITH GUSTY NE WINDS EXPECTED
AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST. THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR CIG
RESTRICTIONS, MAINLY DURING LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING PERIODS.
MARINE
THROUGH THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH LOW PRESSURE FAR OFFSHORE TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT. GALE WARNING CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING BUT PRESSURE
GRADIENT IS FORECAST TO RELAX OVERNIGHT SO GALES SHOULD END THIS
EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD NOTE THAT THE NE WINDS
COUNTER TO THE NORTHWARD- FLOWING GULF STREAM WATERS WILL RESULT
IN VERY STEEP/HAZARDOUS MARITIME CONDITIONS OFFSHORE FOR MUCH
OF THE PERIOD. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO LIKELY
LINGER ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS MUCH OF THE TIME FROM LATE
TONIGHT INTO MID WEEK.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT MONDAY FOR NCZ106-108-
110.
HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR NCZ106-108.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY FOR NCZ107.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY FOR NCZ108.
SC...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT MONDAY FOR SCZ054-056.
HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR SCZ056.
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR SCZ054.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR AMZ250-252-254-
256.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY FOR AMZ280-284.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...ILM
KEY MESSAGES...31
DISCUSSION...31
AVIATION...LEW
MARINE...31
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