951  
FNUS71 KILN 061250  
FWSILN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPARRAL RX FIRE...ODNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH  
750 AM EST THU NOV 6 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON NOVEMBER 06.  
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS  
WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN LIGHT WINDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD  
DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S THIS AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IN THAT  
POSSIBILITY WAS TOO LOW. SO THE FORECAST ONLY LOWERS RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY INTO THE LOWER 30S. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING  
SHOWERS ON FRIDAY, BUT NOT UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE  
MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........13 10 12 5 4 4 5 10 13 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 43 48 52 54 57 57 57 58 55  
RH..............79 66 56 46 40 34 34 34 33 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S SE SE S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 4 5 4 5 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 1.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 2.8 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S SE N N NW SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 3 5 5 3 3 5 5 6  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........20 18 18 29 21 15 16 16 43 48 55 58  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 49 45 44 43 43 41 42 42 43 45 47  
RH..............41 50 55 59 58 59 64 62 62 62 61 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 10 10 10 11 12 14 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 9 10 10 12 13 13 13 15 17  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 21 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 21  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........77 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 94 94 94 94  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 50 50 50 50 50 50 90 90 90 90 90  
TEMP............48 50 52 56 60 63 64 64 64 64 63 62  
RH..............71 76 80 78 73 70 69 71 73 76 77 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 11 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 11 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 19 20 21 21 21 21 20 19 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 22 24 29 29 31 32 29 24 21 18  
 
 
FORECASTER...NWS  
REQUESTED BY...JOSH DEEMER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525275.0/ILN  
.DELDT 11/06/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSHWA.DEEMER@DNR.STATE.OH.US  
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