647
FXUS63 KILX 142026
AFDILX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
226 PM CST THU NOV 14 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER, CLOUDY SKIES, AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES LINGER
INTO THE WEEKEND.
- TEMPERATURES WARM UP INTO THE 60S FOR HIGHS FOR THE NEW WEEK
AHEAD OF FRONTAL PASSAGES BY MIDWEEK.
- SEVERAL MORE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST THROUGH
THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 226 PM CST THU NOV 14 2024
LOW CLOUDS LINGER OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS TODAY AND WILL STICK AROUND
INTO THE WEEKEND, DUE TO A A POST-FRONTAL INVERSION. THE DRIZZLY
CONDITIONS SHOULD RELAX THIS AFTERNOON BUT THE GREY SKIES SHALL
CONTINUE. LOWS TONIGHT HANG AROUND THE 40S. BREEZY WINDS WILL
RELAX OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
AS A HIGH PRESSURE SETS UP OVER THE REGION TOMORROW, DRY WEATHER
WILL FOLLOW AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BY
SUNDAY, HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL, GETTING UP INTO THE 60S THROUGH
TUESDAY. A MIDWEEK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH, DROPPING
TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN TO SEASONABLE (50S) WEDNESDAY AND (40S)
THURSDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS BY MIDWEEK WILL BE IN THE 30S, NEARING
FREEZING. IT'S TOO EARLY TO MAKE ANY DECISIONS OR CONCLUSIONS BUT
THERE IS A SIGNAL FOR POTENTIAL WIND CHILLS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO
LOW 20S LATE NEXT WEEK.
THERE IS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT LOOKS TO DEVELOP OVER NEW MEXICO
THIS WEEKEND THAT WILL LIFT UP TO THE MIDWEST BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. WE
HAVE PLENTY OF TIME FOR THIS FORECAST TO BOUNCE AROUND BEFORE IT
WILL SETTLE ON AN OUTCOME. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
PRECIPITATION TO THE CWA. THE FIRST ROUND BEING RAIN AND MAYBE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THE SECOND ROUND WILL COME OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY. THIS ONE
COULD HAVE SOME SORT OF FROZEN/WINTRY PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED.
HOWEVER, ACCUMULATION SHOULDN'T BE IMPACTFUL AND THE WARM GROUND
TEMPERATURES WOULD ALLOW FOR ANYTHING THAT FALLS TO MELT RATHER
QUICKLY. NEVERTHELESS, WE COULD SEE OUR FIRST SNOWFLAKES OF THE
SEASON BY NEXT WEEKEND. THE CHANCES AREN'T GREAT AND THINGS COULD
CHANGE, BUT IT IS A NONZERO CHANCE AT THIS TIME. STAY TUNED FOR
FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS.
COPPLE
AVIATION
(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1114 AM CST THU NOV 14 2024
A POST-FRONTAL SUBSIDENCE INVERSION WILL HELP KEEP LOW/MVFR CIGS
OVER THE REGIONAL TERMINALS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS TAF CYCLE. A FEW
PERIODS OF IFR CIGS/VIS MAY BE OBSERVED AT THE ONSET, AND THEN
AGAIN FOR THE FEW HOURS SURROUNDING 12Z, BUT MVFR CONDITIONS WILL
BE THE DOMINANT FLIGHT CATEGORY. WINDS, MEANWHILE, DO NOT LOOK
LIKE A CONCERN WITH THE PREVAILING WEST WIND SURE TO HOLD STEADY
THROUGH THE PERIOD, DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT BEFORE REASSERTING
ITSELF FRIDAY MORNING.
MJA
ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page