245
FNUS53 KILX 172026
FWFILX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
226 PM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE (20-40% CHANCE) INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING, THOUGH THE CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN IN ANY GIVEN LOCATION
IS VERY LOW (LESS THAN 5%). AS A RESULT, 10H FUELS, WHICH
CURRENTLY ARE 7-11% ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SHOULD REMAIN DRY.
BEHIND A COLD FRONT, CONDITIONS TURN BREEZY AND MORE DRY LATE
WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY NORTH OF AN
AVON TO MINONK. HIGHRES MODELS INDICATE THE JOINT PROBABILITY OF
RH VALUES LESS THAN 25% AND WIND GUSTS OVER 25 MPH IS 60-70% IN
THIS AREA, FOR WHICH WE HAVE ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH.
CONSEQUENTLY, BURNING WILL BE DISCOURAGED DESPITE THE EXCELLENT
VENTILATION IN THESE AREAS.
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ON
THURSDAY, REDUCING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. UNFORTUNATELY,
VENTILATION WILL ALSO DECREASE AS MIXING BECOMES MORE SHALLOW DUE
TO PROLIFIC CLOUD COVER.
ILZ027-028-030-181030-
KNOX-STARK-MARSHALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GALESBURG, TOULON, AND LACON
226 PM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE NONE RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 0 50
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+11) 67 (+6) 41 66
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+1) 16 (-35) 79 46
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 15 G31 W 13 G27 LGT/VAR SE 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 14 G29 W 14 G27 LGT/VAR S 10 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.08
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 AM
PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5630 3660
1700FT MIXING TEMP 62 63
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 29 S 21
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 163270 76860
VENT RATE CATEGORY VERY GOOD GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
ILZ029-031-036>038-181030-
PEORIA-WOODFORD-FULTON-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PEORIA, EUREKA, CANTON, PEKIN,
BLOOMINGTON, AND NORMAL
226 PM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 10 50
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+11) 67 (+6) 41 66
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+3) 16 (-40) 93 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 16 G34 SW 13 G26 S 5 SE 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 14 G34 W 14 G26 LGT/VAR S 10 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.09
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5320 3190
1700FT MIXING TEMP 63 63
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 S 21
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 133000 66990
VENT RATE CATEGORY VERY GOOD FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
ILZ040>042-047>052-181030-
SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RUSHVILLE, HAVANA, LINCOLN, BEARDSTOWN,
PETERSBURG, WINCHESTER, JACKSONVILLE, SPRINGFIELD,
AND TAYLORVILLE
226 PM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 10 50
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (+9) 68 (+7) 43 67
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (+4) 16 (-44) 95 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 16 G34 SW 12 G23 LGT/VAR SE 7 G18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 14 G34 SW 11 G23 LGT/VAR S 11 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 5 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4730 3670
1700FT MIXING TEMP 65 65
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 S 23
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 104060 84410
VENT RATE CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
ILZ043>046-053>057-061-181030-
DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-
EDGAR-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLINTON, MONTICELLO, CHAMPAIGN, URBANA,
DANVILLE, DECATUR, SULLIVAN, TUSCOLA, CHARLESTON, MATTOON, PARIS,
AND SHELBYVILLE
226 PM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 0 20 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+12) 68 (+11) 45 67
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+3) 21 (-48) 100 58
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 15 G34 SW 14 G25 S 5 SE 7 G17
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 16 G34 SW 13 G24 S 5 S 11 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.12
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5340 2900
1700FT MIXING TEMP 64 62
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 23 S 21
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 122820 60900
VENT RATE CATEGORY VERY GOOD FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS AROUND 40.
MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-181030-
CUMBERLAND-CLARK-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENUP, MARSHALL, EFFINGHAM, NEWTON,
ROBINSON, FLORA, OLNEY, AND LAWRENCEVILLE
226 PM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 30 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (+13) 70 (+13) 48 67
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+3) 27 (-43) 99 65
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 13 G28 SW 13 G25 LGT/VAR S 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 15 G29 SW 10 G21 LGT/VAR S 11 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.19
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4610 2430
1700FT MIXING TEMP 65 64
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 S 21
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 92200 51030
VENT RATE CATEGORY GOOD FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
BUMGARDNER
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