646
FXUS63 KILX 221922
AFDILX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
222 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER IS ON TAP FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK,
WITH THE PRIMARY CHANCE FOR ANY RAIN AROUND MID WEEK.
- TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE OUT OF THE ORDINARY FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES SUNDAY AND MONDAY
CREEPING UPWARD A BIT THROUGH THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
DIURNAL CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN INCREASING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN CWA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE SURFACE CAPE'S IN THAT
AREA ARE AROUND 2000 J/KG, MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE FAIRLY LOW.
BETWEEN THAT AND DEW POINTS ONLY IN THE LOW-MID 60S, ANY
PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD MAINLY BE IN THE FORM OF
SPRINKLES. THE DRY AIR WILL RESULT IN A COUPLE OF PLEASANT
NIGHTS, WITH LOWS AROUND 60 TONIGHT AND MID-UPPER 50S SUNDAY
NIGHT.
THE OVERALL UPPER PATTERN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL FAVOR
A NORTHWEST FLOW INTO THE MIDWEST, WHICH WILL KEEP ANY SIGNIFICANT
HEAT OR MOISTURE SURGES AT BAY. THE MOST INTERESTING FEATURE OF
NOTE WILL BE A SHORTWAVE DIVING SOUTHEAST AROUND MID WEEK. WITH
MOST OF THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE NEAR THE GREAT LAKES, RAIN
CHANCES THIS FAR SOUTH WILL BE MORE QUESTIONABLE, WITH 20-30%
CHANCES MAINLY CENTERED ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES CREEP
UPWARD AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID 80S BY MID WEEK, WITH
ENOUGH MOISTURE IN PLACE TO GET THE HEAT INDEX TO AROUND 90 IN A
FEW PLACES.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NORTHWEST WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM 10-15 KNOTS BEFORE SETTLING DOWN
BEFORE SUNSET. A STRAY SHOWER OR STORM IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON, THOUGH ODDS OF OCCURRENCE ARE ONLY AROUND 10-15% AND
PRECLUDE ANY MENTION AT THE TERMINALS RIGHT NOW.
ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
KEY MESSAGES...GEELHART
DISCUSSION...GEELHART
AVIATION...GEELHART
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