456  
FNUS74 KJAN 221012  
FWSJAN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 81 PRAIRIE BURN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS  
412 AM CST FRI NOV 22 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON NOVEMBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN GIVEN  
THE DRIER AIR MOVING IN AND BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING.  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.  
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2700 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1200 METERS AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 152-823  
METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 3 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
 
TIME (CST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............40 49 54 57 55  
RH..............70 54 50 47 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 15 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1900 2500 2700 2400  
MIX HGT (M).....370 580 760 820 730  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 N 13 N 12 N 12 N 10  
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 6 N 6 N 5 N 5 N 4  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST OVERNIGHT.  
AREAS OF FOG AFTER 3 AM. WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 1 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY AREAS  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE FROST FOG  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............46 41 40 38 35 33  
RH..............73 89 89 92 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 1 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 8 6 5 3  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 400 400 400 400  
MIX HGT (M).....120 120 120 120 120 120  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 9 N 9 N 8 N 7 N 7 N 5  
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 4 N 4 N 4 N 3 N 3 N 2  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST AND  
AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.  
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST 2 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-792 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 1 TO 2 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 1 TO 2  
METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTH AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD  
WEATHER TYPE....FROST NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............31 48 59 63  
RH..............100 74 51 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 2 3 3  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1000 2300 2400  
MIX HGT (M).....120 300 700 730  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 5 E 3 NW 3 W 5  
TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 2 E 1 NW 1 W 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...CARPENTER  
REQUESTED BY...USFS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2427175.0/JAN  
.DELDT 11/22/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOHN.CREWS@USDA.GOV  
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