679
FXUS63 KJKL 221045
AFDJKL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
545 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND WILL LAST THROUGH MID WEEK, WITH
MOST PLACES FORECAST TO TOP 60 DEGREES ON WEDNESDAY.
- A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
OUR NEXT GOOD SHOT AT RAIN (50-60% PROBABILITY), FOLLOWED BY A
MODEST DOWNTURN IN TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
BENIGN WEATHER WILL LAST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD, WITH GULF
MOISTURE CUT OFF. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT CURRENTLY OVER MO, KS,
AND OK WILL MOVE EAST AND PASS OVER OUR AREA LATE TODAY, BUT IT
WILL NOT BRING ANYTHING MORE THAN AN INCREASE IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS.
ONCE THE WAVE PASSES, MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL RETURN TONIGHT AND
LAST INTO SUNDAY.
WARMER AIR ALOFT WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING IN OVERNIGHT AND PREDAWN
WILL ALLOW FOR WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY (ABOVE FREEZING!),
ASSUMING A BIT OF SUN AND SOME MIXING. AFTER A NIGHT OF MODEST
RIDGE/VALLEY TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCES, MORE SUNSHINE WILL BRING A
CONTINUED WARM-UP FOR SUNDAY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
AN UPDATED LONG TERM DISCUSSION WILL BE SENT SHORTLY.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 545 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME CLOUDS
MOSTLY IN THE 6-13K FT AGL RANGE WILL BE PRESENT AT TIMES. WINDS
WILL BE LESS THAN 10 KTS.
JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR KYZ110-
113-115-117>120.
SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...MARCUS
AVIATION...HAL
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