757  
FXUS63 KJKL 022115  
AFDJKL  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
515 PM EDT WED APR 2 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
 
- TEMPERATURES WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM FOR MOST OF THE AREA INTO  
THE FIRST PART OF UPCOMING WEEKEND.  
 
- AT LEAST NORTHWEST PARTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY ARE FAVORED TO SEE  
ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT, WITH BETTER  
CHANCES OVER MOST, IF NOT ALL, OF EASTERN KENTUCKY ON THURSDAY  
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.  
 
- WE ARE LOOKING FOR REPEATED ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND  
THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT EASTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH SUNDAY -  
ESPECIALLY FOR NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE  
BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES OF RAIN STILL APPEARS TO BE POSSIBLE  
OVER THOSE SEVERAL DAYS. THIS AREA REMAINS IN A FLOOD WATCH FROM  
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.  
 

 
   
UPDATE
 
 
ISSUED AT 1002 AM EDT WED APR 2 2025  
 
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY HAVE NOT MATERIALIZED  
IN THE JKL AREA AND REMAIN TO OUR NORTH. IT'S LOOKING MORE LIKELY  
THAT WE WILL STAY CAPPED DURING THE DAY, AND THE POP HAS BEEN  
LOWER BELOW THE 20% THRESHOLD FOR FORECAST INCLUSION AREA WIDE.  
HAVE ALSO LOWERED SKY COVER IN THE VERY NEAR TERM BASED ON  
SATELLITE OBS. LATEST TEMPS HAVE BEEN BLENDED INTO THE FORECAST.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)  
ISSUED AT 519 AM EDT WED APR 2 2025  
 
THERMOMETERS HAVE DIPPED INTO THE MID 30S IN THE COOLEST  
NORTHEASTERN HOLLOW THIS MORNING BUT RANGE UP TO THE MID 50S TO  
LOW 60S IN THE VICINITY OF LAKE CUMBERLAND AND ON SOUTHERN THERMAL  
BELT RIDGES. HIGH CLOUDS ARE STREAMING IN FROM THE WEST SOUTHWEST  
WHILE WINDS ARE SLOWLY PICKING UP OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST,  
ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND IN OPEN AREAS, DUE TO A  
TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT. THE BROADER REGIONAL  
ANALYSIS SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM SOUTH  
CAROLINA WESTWARD THROUGH THE LOWER TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THEN  
NORTHWESTWARD AS WARM FRONT TO AN ~988MB ELONGATED LOW OVER THE  
KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA. LOOKING ALOFT, A BROAD 500H TROUGH IS IN  
PLACE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WHILE BROAD RIDGING PREVAILS OVER THE  
EAST.  
 
THE UPPER-LEVEL WAVE PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED THROUGH THE  
SHORT-TERM BUT WITH LITTLE OVERALL PROPAGATION TO THE EAST. THE  
AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO OCCLUDE AS ITS PARENT  
500H SHORTWAVE EJECTS OUT OF THE WESTERN TROUGH AND RACES  
NORTHEAST TO OVER LAKE SUPERIOR LATE TONIGHT AND ONWARD INTO  
QUEBEC ON THURSDAY. THE SYSTEM'S ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL LIFT  
THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY LATER THIS MORNING WITH LIMITED MOISTURE  
AND ONLY A LOW CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM TOWARD THE I-64  
CORRIDOR. BEHIND THE BOUNDARY, DEEPENING MIXING UNDER PARTIAL SUN  
WILL PROMOTE MOMENTUM TRANSFER TO THE SURFACE FROM THE SYSTEM'S  
WARM CONVEYOR BELT JET. GFS BUFKIT MIXED LAYER MOMENTUM TRANSFER  
WAS SUFFICIENT (34+KTS AT TIMES) OVER OUR WESTERN COUNTIES TO  
WARRANT ISSUANCE OF A WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT,  
COINCIDENT WITH MIX-OUT THROUGH PEAK AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING  
HEATING. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY DURING THAT TIME FURTHER EAST, BUT  
THE WEAKER WIND FIELD IS NOT LIKELY TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD WIND  
ADVISORY CRITERIA GUSTS (40 TO 57 MPH) THERE. GULF MOISTURE WILL  
SURGE TO WELL ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS BY LATER THIS EVENING/  
TONIGHT AS THE SOUTHERLY FLOW PULLS A JUICY AIR MASS NORTHWARD  
FROM THE GULF (HREF PWATS RISE TO BETWEEN 1.2 AND 1.5 INCHES BY  
LATE TONIGHT). MEANWHILE, A CONVECTIVELY-REINFORCED COLD FRONT  
TRAILING BEHIND THE SURFACE LOW WILL RACE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE  
OHIO VALLEY LATE TONIGHT BEFORE STALLING OVER THE COMMONWEALTH ON  
THURSDAY AS THE COLD POOL-DRIVEN CONVECTION OUTRUNS THE BETTER  
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. THE BOUNDARY'S THETA-E GRADIENT BECOMES  
NEARLY PARALLEL WITH THE DEEP, MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW FOR MUCH  
OF THE DAY, SUPPORTIVE OF TRAINING CONVECTION ALONG THE BOUNDARY.  
 
CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IS NOTED IN THE 00 AND 06Z MODEL SUITES AS TO  
THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE BOUNDARY BY 18Z THURSDAY, WHETHER IT BE  
JUST SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER OR FURTHER SOUTHEAST INTO THE  
TENNESSEE VALLEY/SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY. A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY  
POSITION OF THE BOUNDARY SHOULD FAVOR WEAKER SYNOPTIC SCALE  
ASCENT AS IT WOULD BE MORE DISPLACED FROM THE BETTER JET/VORTICITY  
DYNAMICS ALOFT. WITH THAT BEING SAID, THE AIR MASS FEEDING INTO  
THE BOUNDARY FROM THE GULF WILL BE EXTREMELY MOIST (APPROACHING  
CLIMATOLOGICAL MAXIMUMS ACCORDING TO THE NAEFS AND ECWMF ENS),  
WHICH COMBINED WITH RELATIVELY SKINNY CAPE AND EFFICIENT WARM  
LAYER RAIN PROCESSES COULD EASILY LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.  
GIVEN RELATIVELY LOW ANTECEDENT STREAMFLOWS AND SOIL MOISTURE,  
RAINFALL ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY ALONG THIS SOUTHEASTWARD  
SAGGING BOUNDARY SHOULD BE LARGELY A PRIMING TYPE OF EVENT WITH  
MOST HYDRO ISSUES BEING LIMITED TO POOR DRAINAGE/URBAN  
FLOODING/PONDING AND MINOR STREAM FLOODING. WPC HAS PLACED MOST OF  
EASTERN KENTUCKY UNDER A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LATE  
TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY WITH THIS INITIAL ROUND OF RAINFALL.  
A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS IN PLACE FOR LOCATIONS  
ALONG/NORTHWEST OF A PAINTSVILLE-TO-JACKSON-TO-LONDON LINE ON  
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT, ROUGHLY CORRESPONDING TO THE  
FOOTPRINT OF THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH. THIS IS THE AREA WHICH IS  
CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO SEE THE MORE PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST  
TRAINING CONVECTION ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING AND IS  
FAVORED TO RECEIVE A WIDESPREAD 0.75 TO 1.50 INCHES OF RAIN, AS  
PER THE 02/00Z HREF PMM PRECIPITATION. IN MORE EXTREME HIGH-END  
TRAINING SCENARIOS, LOCALIZED SWATHS OF UP TO 4 INCHES COULD OCCUR  
IN THE FLOOD WATCH AREA THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY. IT IS IMPORTANT TO  
NOTE THAT THERE IS A VERY SHARP CUTOFF IN RAINFALL AMOUNTS SOUTH  
OF THE BOUNDARY AND SHOULD THE BOUNDARY STALL FURTHER NORTH THAN  
EXPECTED, VERY LITTLE RAINFALL WOULD OCCUR IN THE JKL CWA IN THE  
SHORT-TERM. CONVERSELY, THOSE AMOUNTS COULD CREEP A LITTLE  
FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST IF THE FRONT MAKES A MORE AGGRESSIVE PUSH  
SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER AND INTO THE BLOCKING RIDGE. THOSE WITH  
INTERESTS VULNERABLE TO FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ADVISED TO  
HAVE A PLAN FOR WHAT THEY WILL DO IF FLOODING OCCURS AND  
INDIVIDUALS SOUTHEAST OF THE PRESENT FLOOD WATCH ARE ENCOURAGED TO  
MONITOR LATER FORECAST UPDATES FOR ANY POTENTIAL SOUTHEASTWARD  
SHIFTS IN THE HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD  
AGREEMENT THAT A NEW WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE THE BAROCLINIC  
ZONE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY JUST BEYOND THE END OF THE SHORT-TERM  
PERIOD, TEMPORARILY LIFTING THE STALLED BOUNDARY AND ITS  
ASSOCIATED RAINFALL BACK TO THE NORTH BEGINNING THURSDAY EVENING.  
 
ASIDE FROM THE STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL WIND AND FLOODING THREATS,  
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT OVER THE  
NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AS THE LINE OF CONVECTION  
INITIALLY SETTLES SOUTHEAST AND THEN ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN  
KENTUCKY ON THURSDAY AS THE BOUNDARY MOST LIKELY STALLS FOR A TIME  
OVER OUR FORECAST AREA. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS (15 TO 30% CHANCE  
WITHIN 25 MILES OF A POINT) WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH  
STRONGER STORMS RIDING ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. HOWEVER  
ISOLATED INSTANCES OF HAIL AND A BRIEF SPINUP TORNADO CANNOT BE  
RULED OUT (THOUGH PROBABILITIES ARE LOWER) AS THE AIR MASS FEEDING  
INTO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE SUPPORT OF SUPPORTIVE OF  
TRANSIENT SUPERCELLULAR STRUCTURES EMBEDDED ALONG THE EDGE OF THE  
FRONTAL LINE.  
 
IN SENSIBLE TERMS, LOOK FOR A MUCH WARMER AND INCREASINGLY WINDY  
WEDNESDAY WITH A MIXTURE OF SUN AND CLOUDS. EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME  
SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO  
45 MPH FROM LATER MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THE STRONGEST GUSTS  
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR NEAR AND WEST OF THE POTTSVILLE ESCARPMENT  
(ROUGHLY ROWAN DOWN TO WHITLEY COUNTIES AND WESTWARD). IT WILL ALSO  
BE MUCH WARMER THAN RECENT DAYS WITH WIDESPREAD AFTERNOON HIGH  
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE  
OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON  
NEAR/NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY BUT MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD  
REMAIN DRY. MILD AND BREEZY CONDITIONS FOLLOW FOR TONIGHT WITH A  
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SETTLING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST  
OVERNIGHT. TENTATIVELY EXPECT THE LINE TO REACH THE I-64 CORRIDOR  
BY 1 TO 4 AM EDT AND SINK TO NEAR THE HAL ROGER/KY-80 CORRIDOR BY  
AROUND SUNRISE. THAT LINE THEN WAVERS ON THURSDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY  
LIFTING BACK TO THE NORTH LATER IN THE DAY. SOME LOCATIONS NEAR  
THE VIRGINIA BORDER COULD SEE LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL, WHEREAS  
LOCATIONS FURTHER NORTHWEST COULD RECEIVE MULTIPLE INCHES OF RAIN  
AND EXPERIENCE INSTANCES OF HIGH WATER. THERE COULD ALSO BE STRONG  
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS LINE.  
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED RANGE IN THE 60S. ON THURSDAY,  
FORECAST HIGHS RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S WHERE SHOWERS AND STORMS  
PERSIST UP THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 80S OVER FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES  
WHERE SUNSHINE IS PREVALENT.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 515 PM EDT WED APR 2 2025  
 
THE MODELS, AND THEIR INDIVIDUAL ENSEMBLE SUITES, ARE STILL IN  
SURPRISINGLY GOOD AGREEMENT ALOFT THROUGH THE BULK OF THE LONG  
TERM FORECAST BEFORE SOME DIFFERENCES OF NOTE START TO SHOW UP  
CONCERNING A LATE PERIOD TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY FROM  
THE NORTH. THEY ALL DEPICT A DEEP SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH ANCHORING  
THE 5H PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK ONLY SLOWLY GRINDING  
EAST THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE A STRONG RIDGE HOLDS FIRM IN THE  
SOUTHEAST. THIS CONTINUES TO DEPICT A STAGNANT PATTERN ALOFT FOR  
MOST OF THE COUNTRY INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND LOCKING IN  
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF FAST SOUTHWEST MID-LEVEL FLOW INTO KENTUCKY.  
THIS WILL BE ABLE TO SCOUR AMPLE MOISTURE NORTHEAST FROM A WIDE  
OPEN WESTERN GULF OF AMERICA FOR A NEAR CONTINUOUS FLUX OF  
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. WITHIN THE FLOW, SEVERAL IMPULSES OF  
CONCERN WILL RIDE PAST EASTERN KENTUCKY. ONE OF THESE, IN A SERIES  
OF THEM, PASSES THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SLIDES BY TO  
THE NORTH THAT NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING, WHILE A THIRD THEN  
CROSSES TOWARDS THAT EVENING. BY EARLY SUNDAY, THOUGH, A  
SUBSTANTIAL PORTION OF THE SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH FINALLY WORKS  
EAST INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY HELPING TO SHOVE THE BLOCKING  
SOUTHEAST RIDGE FURTHER AWAY FROM KENTUCKY. THIS WILL ALLOW THE  
PATTERN TO START MOVING AGAIN FOR OUR AREA AND ALSO HELPS TO PULL  
A LARGE TROUGH SOUTHWARD FROM EASTERN CANADA SENDING 5H HEIGHT  
FALLS THROUGH THIS PART OF THE STATE DURING THE DAY, SUNDAY. THEN,  
WITH THE PATTERN FINALLY ON THE MOVE, A STREAM OF ENERGY WILL  
SETTLE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND PRESS SOUTH INTO THE JKL CWA LATER  
MONDAY. THIS ENERGY SWATH LINGERS OVERHEAD THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY  
BEFORE THE LARGE NORTHERN TROUGH'S AXIS AT 5H WILL FINALLY SWEEP  
EAST OF THE OHIO VALLEY - NOW FASTER AND MORE DAMPENED IN THE  
ECMWF CLUSTER COMPARED TO THE GFS SOLUTIONS. THIS CHANGE WILL TURN  
THE MID-LEVEL FLOW MORE SHARPLY TO THE NORTHWEST BRINGING A  
PATTERN MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DRYING AND COLDER CONDITIONS.  
 
THE STILL RATHER SMALL MODEL SPREAD ALOFT THROUGH SATURDAY  
SUPPORTED USING THE NBM AS THE STARTING POINT FOR THE FORECAST  
GRIDS INTO THE WEEKEND THEN HAVE DECIDED TO USED IT SPLIT THE  
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE STILL SHIFTING CLUSTER SOLUTIONS OF THE  
VARIOUS LONG RANGE MODEL SYSTEMS INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.  
AGAIN MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS MAINLY TO ADD MORE TERRAIN DISTINCTION  
TO THE TEMPERATURES IN THE SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE AREA EACH NIGHT  
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.  
 
SENSIBLE WEATHER FEATURES A WARM END TO THE WEEK FOR MOST WITH  
THE MODELS NOW DEPICTING THE CONCERNING BOUNDARY LYING ACROSS  
NORTHERN PARTS OF THE JKL CWA TO START THE DAY, FRIDAY. MODEL  
CONSENSUS HAS THIS BOUNDARY SHIFTING NORTH ON FRIDAY AS THE NEXT  
SFC WAVE CONSOLIDATES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE STATE. THIS PROCESS  
LOOKS ON TRACK TO SPARE MUCH OF EASTERN KENTUCKY THE HEAVY RAINS  
AND STRONGER STORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE NIGHT.  
HOWEVER, THIS BOUNDARY WILL START TO RETURN SOUTHEAST LATER  
SATURDAY WITH MORE STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS ARRIVING, FOR  
AT LEAST NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY EVENING, WHILE THE  
SOUTHEAST LOOKS TO STAY DRY AND VERY WARM. THE CAVEAT THROUGH  
SATURDAY EVENING IS THAT WHILE THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT  
THAT THE BOUNDARY STAYS WEST AND NORTH OF THE BULK OF SOUTHEAST  
KENTUCKY, MESOSCALE DYNAMICS AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES COULD HELP TO  
PUSH IT FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE MODELS INDICATE SO CAUTION IS  
URGED, ESPECIALLY IN THE FLOOD WATCH AREAS. EVENTUALLY, THIS  
SYSTEM AND THE FRONTAL STRUCTURE PUSH THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA  
MAINLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH A FINAL INCIDENT OF HEAVY RAIN BEFORE  
IT DEPARTS. WE WILL PROBABLY HAVE TO CONSIDER EXTENDING THE FLOOD  
WATCH THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY IF THE ECMWF TRENDS HOLDS IN HAVING A  
LINGERING SFC WAVE MOVE ALONG THE FRONT ON SUNDAY AND HOLDING IT  
UP BY PERHAPS ANOTHER 12 HOURS.  
 
SHARPLY COLDER WEATHER FOLLOWS BEHIND THE SYSTEM INTO MONDAY AND  
THROUGH THE START OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK. THIS WILL BRING AN AIR  
MASS CHANGE ON NORTHERLY WINDS. THE COLDEST AIR IS INDICATED TO  
ARRIVE LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY SUCH THAT SCATTERED FROST AND  
SOME SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR MONDAY AND  
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH PRESSURE THAT MOVES INTO THE AREA IN THE  
WAKE OF THE WEEKEND SYSTEM WILL START TO SHIFT EAST ON WEDNESDAY  
BUT SERVE TO KEEP THE WEATHER DRY AND COOL.  
 
DESPITE THE EXTREMENESS AND CLIMATOLOGICAL RARENESS OF THIS  
STALLED PATTERN, MOST OF EASTERN KENTUCKY IS EXPECTED TO MISS OUT  
OF THE HIGHER IMPACTS OWING TO THE HEAVIEST RAINS FORECASTED TO  
STAY NORTH OF THE HEADWATERS OF OUR RIVERS. EVEN SO, WE NEED TO  
STAY VIGILANT FOR A POSSIBLE SHIFT SOUTHEAST IN THE HEAVY RAIN  
AXIS AND NOT LET OUR GUARD DOWN. HOWEVER, AS IT STANDS NOW, IT  
SEEMS INCREASING LIKELY THAT THE WESTERN PART OF THE STATE AND  
CONFLUENCE REGION OF THE OHIO AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS WILL SEE THE  
HISTORIC IMPACTS FROM THE REPEATED HEAVY RAINS OF SUCH EXTREME  
DURATIONS. MEANWHILE MANY OF US HERE, ESPECIALLY THOSE OUTSIDE OF  
THE FLOOD WATCH, WILL MOSTLY NOTE JUST AN UNSEASONABLY WARM  
STRETCH OF WEATHER FOR EARLY APRIL INTERRUPTED OCCASIONALLY BY A  
BOUT OF MAINLY NOCTURNAL SHOWERS AND STORMS.  
 
THE CHANGES TO THE NBM STARTING POINT CONSISTED PRIMARILY OF  
ADJUSTING THE POPS FOR HOURLY TEMPORAL RESOLUTION. DID ALSO  
INCLUDE MORE TERRAIN DISTINCTION TO THE LOW TEMPERATURES THROUGH  
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FOR TUESDAY NIGHT.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)  
ISSUED AT 749 AM EDT WED APR 2 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE AT TAF ISSUANCE AND WILL LARGELY  
PREVAIL DURING THE PERIOD. ANY STRAY SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH A WARM  
FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING WILL LIKELY NOT AFFECT THE TAF SITES.  
SURFACE WINDS WILL PICK UP QUICKLY THROUGH LATE MORNING AS  
DAYTIME MIXING COMMENCES AND GUSTS OF 20 TO 35 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED  
FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH  
FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT WITH A RISING THREAT OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL MVFR OR WORSE FLIGHT  
CONDITIONS.  
 

 
   
JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR KYZ044-050>052-  
058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-106-108-111.  
 
FLOOD WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR  
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084-104-106>109-111-  
112-114.  
 

 
 

 
 
UPDATE...HAL  
SHORT TERM...GEERTSON  
LONG TERM...GREIF  
AVIATION...GEERTSON  
 
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