531  
FNUS73 KJKL 211950  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR POWDER MILL...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
350 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2025  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A COLD FRONT OR SURFACE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN GUSTS  
DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY AND BRING IN A REINFORCING SHOT OF  
COLDER AND DRIER AIR. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD THEN BUILD IN AND  
REMAIN DOMINANT THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. FROST IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN  
VALLEY LOCATIONS NEAR THE BURN PERIMETER ON WEDNESDAY AND  
THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL NOT ARRIVE  
UNTIL THE WEEKEND.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 37 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............AROUND 34.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...AROUND 37.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 17 MPH, INCREASING TO WEST 17 TO  
26 MPH AFTER 0900.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (2800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (92500  
KNOT-FT) TO EXCELLENT (101700 KNOT-FT) IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4 EARLY, 1 LATE.  
ADI.................11 EARLY, INCREASING TO 94 TO 101.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........7 5 1 0 5 4 6 12 15 11 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 41 43 48 50 53 56 57 57 58 58  
DEWPOINT........34 34 35 36 36 36 34 34 33 33 33  
RH..............76 76 73 63 58 52 43 42 40 39 39  
APARNT TMP (F)..37 37 39 44 46 53 56 57 57 58 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 12 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 14 16 18 21 22 23 23 23 21  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 1.3 3.2 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 17 23 26 25 24 25 24 24 24  
LVORI...........4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............11 12 29 92 101 97 94 100 97 99 97  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 19 65 97 94 93 100 99 102 98  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR GD GD GD GD VGD GD VGD GD  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 82 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............AROUND 33.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...AROUND 39.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY, BECOMING LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE AFTER 0000.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 10 AFTER  
2200.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (46900 KNOT-FT) EARLY DECREASING TO POOR  
(1600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............1 TO 3.  
ADI.................60 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........6 3 6 3 4 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 51 48 45 42 42  
DEWPOINT........33 34 34 33 32 32  
RH..............42 52 58 62 67 67  
APARNT TMP (F)..56 51 46 43 40 40  
20 FT WIND......W 9 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 3 W 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 13 13 10 9 8  
RIDGETOP WIND...W 10 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 5 W 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 400 300 300 200 200  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 20 W 14 W 10 W 9 W 8 W 8  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............60 6 5 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..47 4 3 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 30 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............AROUND 33 DECREASING TO AROUND 30 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...AROUND 38.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 2 TO 4 MPH, BECOMING WEST 4 TO 8 MPH AFTER  
0900.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 3 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR EARLY (1300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR (44300  
KT-FT) TO GOOD (73000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3 EARLY, 1 LATE.  
ADI.................4 EARLY INCREASING TO 44 TO 99 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........9 4 3 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 42 55 59  
DEWPOINT........32 32 34 31  
RH..............73 67 45 34  
APARNT TMP (F)..38 42 55 59  
20 FT WIND......W 3G8 W 2G9 W 6G13 W 8G14  
RIDGETOP WIND...W 5 W 3 W 7 W 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 800 3000 4500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 10 W 17 W 18  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1  
ADI.............4 11 63 98  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 7 44 73  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD  
 
 
FORECASTER...JP  
REQUESTED BY...BROCK CAMPBELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524107.0/JKL  
.DELDT 10/21/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BROCK.CAMPBELL@USDA.GOV,CONRAD.MCCLOSKEY@USDA.GOV,CASEY.LOVELL@USDA.GOV,SHAWN.PEARSON@USDA.GOV,SETH.THOMPSON2@USDA.GOV  
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