591  
FNUS73 KJKL 212002  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN BLUFF RX...USFS`  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
402 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2025  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A COLD FRONT OR SURFACE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE  
IN GUSTS DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY AND BRING IN A REINFORCING  
SHOT OF COLDER AND DRIER AIR. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD THEN BUILD IN  
AND REMAIN DOMINANT THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. FROST IS ANTICIPATED  
AT THE BURN LOCATION ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY  
NIGHT. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL THE WEEKEND.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 35 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............AROUND 34.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...39.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH THROUGH 0900, THEN BECOMING  
WEST 16 TO 26 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR EARLY (3000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (102000 KNOT-FT) TO EXCELLENT  
(113700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1 TO 3.  
ADI.................11 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 75 TO  
TO 106 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........11 7 2 5 6 8 9 20 25 18 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 43 45 49 51 54 56 57 58 58 58  
DEWPOINT........34 34 35 36 35 36 34 33 32 32 32  
RH..............68 70 68 61 54 50 43 40 37 37 37  
APARNT TMP (F)..40 39 40 45 51 54 56 57 58 58 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 9 10 10 13 13 14 14 14 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 16 17 21 22 23 24 25 26 24  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..8 8 10 12 12 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 1.4 3.4 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.9 5.2 5.2 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 16 23 26 26 25 25 25 24 24  
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............11 12 29 79 104 106 102 77 79 75 100  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 19 68 102 106 104 108 114 108 105  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 85 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............AROUND 33.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...AROUND 37.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH, BECOMING LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE LATE.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 6 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (39400 KNOT-FT) EARLY DECREASING TO POOR  
(1600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............1 TO 3.  
ADI.................51 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........17 10 8 4 5 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 51 48 44 42 41  
DEWPOINT........32 34 34 33 33 32  
RH..............38 52 58 65 70 70  
APARNT TMP (F)..57 51 45 41 38 38  
20 FT WIND......W 12 W 7 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 14 12 10 8 8  
RIDGETOP WIND...W 13 W 8 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....2600 500 300 300 200 200  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17 W 14 W 12 W 10 W 9 W 9  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............51 6 5 5 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..39 6 3 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 26 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............AROUND 32 DECREASING TO AROUND 27 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...AROUND 32.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4 TO 8 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH, INCREASING TO WEST 16 TO 21 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR EARLY (1200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR  
(49400 KNOT-FT) TO GOOD (87300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4 EARLY, 1 LATE.  
ADI.................4 EARLY, INCREASING TO 70 TO 117 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........12 4 2 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 40 55 59  
DEWPOINT........32 33 32 28  
RH..............79 76 41 30  
APARNT TMP (F)..34 37 55 59  
20 FT WIND......W 5G8 W 5G9 W 7G14 W 8G16  
RIDGETOP WIND...W 6 W 6 W 8 W 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 900 3300 4800  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 10 W 17 W 20  
LVORI...........4 4 1 1  
ADI.............4 12 70 108  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 8 49 81  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD  
 

 
FORECASTER...JP  
REQUESTED BY...BROCK CAMPBELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524108.0/JKL  
.DELDT 10/21/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BROCK.CAMPBELL@USDA.GOV,CONRAD.MCCLOSKEY@USDA.GOV,CASEY.LOVELL@USDA.GOV,SHAWN.PEARSON@USDA.GOV,SETH.THOMPSON2@USDA.GOV  
 
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