608  
FNUS73 KJKL 131559  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSHY CREEK RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
1159 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING  
   
..NEAR CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON  
 
   
DISCUSSION.  
AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING EAST  
OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL SEND A COLD FRONT TOWARD  
OUR AREA FROM THE NORTH NORTHWEST TODAY. STRONG SOUTHWEST  
TO WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT,  
WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH EXPECTED TODAY OVER THE FIRE AREA.  
THE WIND WILL CARRY IN MILDER AIR AND SOMEWHAT HIGHER DEW  
POINTS. HOWEVER, THE COMBINATION WILL STILL ALLOW FOR  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO DROP TO NEAR 25%.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............29.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...65.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 33 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32 TO 36 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (107300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (138600 KNOT-FT) IN THE MID-AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (113400 KNOT-FT) LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................89 TO 106.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........18 16 4 10 14 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 60 63 64 65 65  
DEWPOINT........28 30 28 28 31 31  
RH..............34 32 26 26 29 28  
APARNT TMP (F)..56 60 63 64 65 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 16 16 16 16 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.32 33 33 33 32 30  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 16 16 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 4.1 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.33 36 36 35 32 32  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............89 100 106 102 94 91  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..107 127 144 139 124 118  
VENTRATE CAT....VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............33.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...37.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 29 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 2 TO  
3 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 13 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (75600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (2200  
KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................88 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........21 9 2 2 4 3 7 6 3 6 11 12  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 60 57 54 51 50 47 44 43 42 40 38  
DEWPOINT........32 33 34 34 34 35 35 35 35 34 33 32  
RH..............30 36 42 47 53 57 64 71 73 75 76 79  
APARNT TMP (F)..64 60 57 54 51 48 46 45 44 42 41 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 10 7 6 5 5 3 2 2 2 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 24 20 15 13 12 10 8 6 5 3 3  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW W SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..14 12 8 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW W W W W NW NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 18 13 12 10 12 10 9 7 7 7 6  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 6  
ADI.............88 12 6 5 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..77 33 21 17 10 7 6 5 3 3 3 2  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............31 INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...34.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 9  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO MARGINAL  
(29200 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 49 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........20 13 12 14 22 15 20 20 18 24 16 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 35 35 39 44 50 55 60 63 65 68 69  
DEWPOINT........32 32 30 31 31 30 31 32 33 35 36 37  
RH..............86 87 82 75 60 47 41 35 32 33 31 31  
APARNT TMP (F)..37 36 36 40 44 50 55 60 63 65 68 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 6 7 7 8 8 8 9 9  
RIDGE WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E SE SE SE SE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE E E E E E SE SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 9 7 7 6 6 6 8 9  
LVORI...........7 7 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1  
ADI.............3 6 6 7 17 16 20 20 23 26 40 49  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 4 11 11 14 14 16 19 29 37  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...GEERTSON  
REQUESTED BY...WALDEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605495.1/JKL  
.DELDT 03/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EDDIE.WALDEN@USDA.GOV  
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