729  
FNUS73 KJKL 131859  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CANEY RX...USFS DANIEL BOONE NF CUMBERLAND RD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
259 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..STRONG WINDS ON SUNDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION.  
 
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE AREA ON  
SATURDAY WITH THE BRUNT OF THE COLDER AIR REMAINING TO THE NORTH.  
THIS WILL LEAD TO A RELATIVELY MILD AND DRY DAY WITH LIGHT WINDS  
VEERING FROM NORTHWEST TO EAST AT AROUND 5 MPH OR LESS AND  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BOTTOMING OUT BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT.  
 
ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY, A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL  
PULL MILD AND SOMEWHAT MORE HUMID AIR NORTH OVER THE AREA ON  
STRENGTHENING WINDS BEFORE ITS COLD FRONT ARRIVES AROUND DAWN ON  
MONDAY. THE EARLY WEEK COLD FRONT WILL BRING POTENT PUSH OF COLDER  
AIR AND THE POSSIBILITY FOR A LITTLE SNOW BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...36.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
2 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE EAST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (1900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO POOR (22000  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................3 TO 30.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 8 22 26 39 35 40 25 32 35 43 43  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 37 36 38 41 46 49 52 55 57 59 60  
RH..............59 61 64 57 50 42 34 28 25 24 24 24  
APARNT TMP (F)..38 37 36 38 41 46 48 52 55 57 59 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NE NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 6  
RIDGE WIND DIR..NW NW NW NE NE E E E E E E E  
RIDGE WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 3 5 5 3 3 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE E SE S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 7  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
ADI.............3 7 4 7 12 11 14 16 18 25 26 30  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 3 2 5 8 8 9 11 13 18 19 22  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...60.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING  
SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (22200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (5000  
KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................4 TO 31.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........39 31 39 45 35 23 22 22 21 33 45 57  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 57 55 52 51 50 48 47 47 47 47 48  
RH..............25 33 38 43 42 44 47 51 56 60 68 71  
APARNT TMP (F)..60 57 55 52 51 48 46 46 46 45 45 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 5 3 3 5 5 3 3 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 8 7 8 9 9 8 8 8 9 10  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 7 6 5 5 6 6 5 5 6 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E E E E E SE SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 13 13 14 13 12 12 12 13 14  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............31 4 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 10 7 10 10 10 8 6 5 6 8 9  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...73.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 33 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (9900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(154500 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 131 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 64 67 65 63 61 64 68 71 73 74 76  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............49 50 52 55 59 63 66 69 71 73 73 73  
RH..............71 71 69 64 55 50 47 45 44 41 40 40  
APARNT TMP (F)..47 48 52 55 59 63 66 69 71 73 73 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 17 21 24 27 30 32 33 33 33  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.0 3.6 4.8 5.4 5.4 5.6 5.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 16 20 24 28 30 32 33 33 33 31  
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............9 18 22 38 68 88 108 131 105 107 106 101  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 12 14 26 52 72 96 134 155 160 162 155  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL  
 
 
FORECASTER...GEERTSON  
REQUESTED BY...BROCK CAMPBELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605676.0/JKL  
.DELDT 03/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BROCK.CAMPBELL@USDA.GOV  
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