547  
FNUS73 KJKL 131948  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NEWTIE KING RX...NPS - BIG SOUTH FORK NRRA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
348 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION.
 
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH AND EAST OF THE  
FIRE AREA ON SATURDAY WITH THE BRUNT OF THE COLDER AIR REMAINING  
TO THE NORTH. THIS WILL LEAD TO A RELATIVELY MILD AND DRY DAY WITH  
LIGHT WINDS VEERING FROM NORTHWEST TO EAST AT AROUND 5 MPH OR  
LESS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BOTTOMING OUT BETWEEN 25 AND 30  
PERCENT.  
 
ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY, A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL  
PULL MILD AND SOMEWHAT MORE HUMID AIR NORTH OVER THE AREA ON  
STRENGTHENING WINDS BEFORE ITS COLD FRONT ARRIVES AROUND DAWN ON  
MONDAY. THE EARLY WEEK COLD FRONT WILL BRING A POTENT PUSH OF  
COLDER AIR AND THE POSSIBILITY FOR A LITTLE SNOW BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............32 INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...70.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO  
8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (9800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO MARGINAL (32700  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................15 TO 44.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 25 24 22 24 8 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 56 60 64 67 68 70  
DEWPOINT........31 33 34 36 37 38 38  
RH..............46 42 37 35 33 33 31  
APARNT TMP (F)..51 56 60 64 67 68 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 5 6 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E SE SE S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..3 5 5 3 3 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.3 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 7 8 8  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
ADI.............15 20 21 24 33 42 44  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 14 15 18 24 31 33  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............41 INCREASING TO 44 AFTER 3 AM.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...67.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 19 MPH LATE.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (32100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(3800 KNOT-FT) IN THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING  
TO POOR (18200 KNOT-FT) AFTER 3 AM.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................45 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........8 7 12 15 23 15 18 27 35 39 43 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 63 59 56 54 52 51 51 52 53 53 52  
DEWPOINT........39 40 43 43 42 42 42 43 43 43 44 44  
RH..............36 43 55 62 64 69 71 74 71 69 71 74  
APARNT TMP (F)..67 63 59 56 54 52 51 51 52 53 53 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 8 9 10 12 13 15 17 19  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 5 3 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 9 9 9 10 12 13 15 17 18 20  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............45 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 7 7 12 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..32 9 4 4 4 5 7 9 12 15 18 21  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............46 INCREASING TO 50 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...72.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 38 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (21200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(166400 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................13 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 119 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 62 70 70 69 69 73 76 80 80 79 79  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 52 56 58 61 64 67 69 71 72 72 72  
DEWPOINT........44 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 51 50 49  
RH..............74 74 66 64 60 56 52 51 49 48 46 44  
APARNT TMP (F)..52 52 56 58 61 64 67 69 71 72 72 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 9 12 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.19 19 22 25 30 33 35 33 35 35 34 34  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 7 8 10 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.8 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 21 25 30 35 37 38 38 38 37 36  
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............13 34 37 57 92 86 98 113 119 119 116 110  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..21 23 25 40 73 98 119 156 173 172 166 158  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL  
 

 
FORECASTER...GEERTSON  
REQUESTED BY...GARY SHREFFLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605641.0/JKL  
.DELDT 03/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBERT_VICK@NPS.GOV,GARY_SHREFFLER@NPS.GOV  
 
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