923  
FNUS73 KJKL 140922  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CANEY RX...USFS DANIEL BOONE NF CUMBERLAND RD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
522 AM EDT SAT MAR 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION.
 
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH AND EAST OF THE  
FIRE AREA TODAY WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY.  
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS VEERING FROM  
NORTHWEST TO EAST AT AROUND 5 MPH OR LESS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES BOTTOMING OUT BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT.  
 
ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY, THAT STALLED FRONT WILL BECOME A  
WARM FRONT AND MOVE NORTH OF THE FIRE AREA A LITTLE AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. ALONG WITH A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, MILD AND  
SOMEWHAT MORE HUMID AIR WILL SPREAD NORTH OVER THE AREA ON  
STRENGTHENING GUSTY WINDS BEFORE ITS COLD FRONT ARRIVES AROUND  
DAWN ON MONDAY. THE EARLY WEEK COLD FRONT WILL BRING A POTENT PUSH  
OF COLDER AIR AND THE POSSIBILITY FOR A LITTLE SNOW BY MONDAY  
AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...37.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (3900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO MARGINAL  
(29000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................4 TO 40.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........36 40 45 45 51 45 46 50 47 44 42 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 38 37 40 43 46 50 52 54 56 57 57  
RH..............57 59 61 55 49 42 34 29 27 25 25 27  
APARNT TMP (F)..39 38 37 40 43 46 50 52 54 56 57 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NE NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 6 6 6 6 7 8 8  
RIDGE WIND DIR..NW NW NW NE NE E E E E E E E  
RIDGE WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE E E E E SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 8 9 8 7 7 7 7 8 9  
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1  
ADI.............4 8 7 12 21 20 21 24 27 29 36 40  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 4 4 8 15 14 15 17 19 21 26 29  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...57.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 14 TO  
15 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (27900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING (5300 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................5 TO 40.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........36 32 29 27 25 23 23 23 23 24 26 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 56 53 51 50 50 50 48 48 48 48 51  
RH..............28 30 35 37 37 37 39 44 46 49 56 59  
APARNT TMP (F)..57 56 53 51 48 48 48 46 47 46 46 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 9 9 10 9 8 8 9 12 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 13 13 13 12 12 14 14 15  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
ADI.............40 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 9 7 7 8 9 8 6 5 8 9 10  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...73.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 39 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (11600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING EXCELLENT  
(191000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 134 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........37 44 56 54 52 50 57 63 70 72 74 76  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 52 54 58 62 65 67 70 72 72 72 73  
RH..............59 61 61 55 52 50 49 45 42 42 44 43  
APARNT TMP (F)..52 52 54 58 62 65 67 70 72 72 72 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 10 10 13 13 14 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 15 17 22 25 28 29 29 30 29 29  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 7 8 12 12 14 14 14 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.5 4.3 5.0 5.6 5.1 5.3 5.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 16 18 24 31 35 37 39 37 33 30  
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............7 19 21 31 51 109 134 113 126 114 105 97  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 12 14 25 49 96 130 160 191 165 154 149  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL VGD  
 

 
FORECASTER...GINNICK  
REQUESTED BY...BROCK CAMPBELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605676.0/JKL  
.DELDT 03/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BROCK.CAMPBELL@USDA.GOV  
 
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