666
FXUS63 KJKL 050847
AFDJKL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
447 AM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES RISE TO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 80S BY THE START OF
THE WEEKEND.
- DRY CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BUT A
PATTERN SHIFT WILL BRING DAILY SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
TO THE REGION FROM LATE SATURDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 447 AM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
FAIR SKIES AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES PREVAIL ACROSS EASTERN
KENTUCKY EARLY THIS MORNING WITH THERMOMETER READINGS RANGING
FROM THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME FOG IN
MAINSTEM RIVER VALLEYS. MEANWHILE, THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS
SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
LOOKING ALOFT, AN ~589 DAM HIGH IS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND
GEORGIA WITH RIDGING EXTENDING NORTHEAST TOWARD LOWER ONTARIO AND
QUEBEC. BROAD TROUGHING WITH EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES IS NOTED OVER THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST.
THE TROUGHING WILL PROPAGATE EASTWARD THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM
PERIOD, SHUNTING THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING SOUTHWARD TO MORE OVER
FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT GULF COAST. THIS WILL BRING A SOUTHEASTWARD
SHIFT IN THE POSITION OF THE SURFACE HIGH AS WELL AND MAKE WAY FOR
A COLD FRONT TO DROP INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, THOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL LIKELY STAY NORTH OF THE JKL CWA
THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY. THE OVERALL AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO WARM AS
WELL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH EACH SUBSEQUENT DAY SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN
THE PREVIOUS.
IN SENSIBLE TERMS, LOOK FOR FAIR SKIES AND NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WITH A LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZE EACH AFTERNOON AND A
TOUCH OF FOG IN THE TYPICALLY FAVORED RIVER VALLEYS LATE EACH NIGHT
AND EARLY MORNING. LOOK FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 83 TO 89F RANGE
TODAY AND ABOUT A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER IN MOST PLACES ON SATURDAY,
WHILE NIGHTTIME LOWS RANGE FROM 56 TO 65F TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 PM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN AMPLIFIED OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, WITH A TRANSITION TO BLOCKIER
FLOW AS WELL FOR THE LATTER PORTION OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. A
RIDGE CENTER WILL BEGIN POSITIONED ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
PROGRESSIVE SHORT WAVE ENERGY WILL BE RIDING EAST ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES, WHILE A BROADER CLOSED LOW MEANDERS NORTHEAST FROM
SOUTHWEST TEXAS. MEANWHILE, A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE
MOVING ONSHORE ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH A SHARPENING
RIDGE AXIS ALIGNED FROM HUDSON BAY THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST REGION. THIS RIDGE WILL GENERALLY EXPAND AND
EVENTUALLY TAKE UP MORE REAL ESTATE ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, WITH MORE OF AN OMEGA-TYPE BLOCK
PATTERN ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CONUS BY THAT TIME. PLENTY OF
UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES REGARDING THE EXACT EVOLUTION OF THIS
PATTERN AND SMALLER-SCALE FEATURES THAT WILL DICTATE OUR WEATHER
DETAILS. THERE REMAINS HIGH CONFIDENCE WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING ACROSS THE COMMONWEALTH, WITH GENERALLY
MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER, GIVEN THE GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE.
THE EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY,
WITH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ONCE AGAIN,
LIKELY A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN FRIDAY. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH A SMALL UPTICK
IN RAIN CHANCES. GUIDANCE HAS GENERALLY TRENDED DOWN ON POPS
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME, WITH ONLY A FEW SHOWERS
LOOKING POSSIBLE. RAIN CHANCES STILL LOOK TO PEAK ON SUNDAY, AS
THE BOUNDARY DRAWS CLOSER, ALTHOUGH BEST CHANCES WILL GENERALLY BE
ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF KY-15. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN IN
THE VICINITY OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK, KEEPING DIURNALLY DRIVEN
CHANCE POPS GOING. THIS REGIME WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK, ALTHOUGH POPS ARE LOWER CONFIDENCE, GIVEN THE
QUESTIONABLE FORCING AT THAT TIMEFRAME.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, WITH HIGHS MODIFYING FROM THE MID TO UPPER
80S, TO THE UPPER 80S AND NEAR 90 AT TIMES. LOWS WILL AVERAGE IN
THE 60S EACH NIGHT. DEW POINTS WILL ALSO GRADUALLY CREEP UP TO
MORE UNCOMFORTABLE LEVELS WITH TIME.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 142 AM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
FOG WILL BRING IFR CONDITIONS TO THE DEEPER VALLEYS IN SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KY EARLY THIS MORNING, BUT SHOULDN'T AFFECT
TAF SITES. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH DAYBREAK WILL BECOME
SOUTHWESTERLY AT 10 KTS OR LESS DURING DAYLIGHT HOURS. THIS
AFTERNOON, A DIURNAL CU FIELD IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. OVERALL, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AT TAF SITES.
JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GEERTSON
LONG TERM...JKL
AVIATION...FAGAN/GEERTSON
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page