413
FGUS63 KKRF 201517
ESPKSR
HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1517Z SAT JUN 20 2026
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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS ****
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HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE (HEFS) PROBABILITIES
ARE DISPLAYED IN THE TABLE BELOW. THE TABLE LISTS THE FLOOD
CATEGORIES AND PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING EACH CATEGORY IN THE
NEXT 10 DAYS.
-- KANSAS FORECAST GROUP --
ISSUANCE MINOR MODERATE MAJOR
STG PROB STG PROB STG PROB STG PROB
:CHAPMAN CR AT CHAPMAN KS 4NNW
CHPK1 (TOP) 17.0 18% 19.0 17% 26.0 <5% 37.0 <5%
:LYON CR AT JUNCTION CITY KS 7S
JNCK1 (TOP) 19.0 13% 21.0 12% 35.0 <5% 39.0 <5%
:SMOKY HILL R AT JUNCTION CITY KS 4SSW
JUCK1 (TOP) 20.0 5% 22.0 <5% 32.0 <5% 44.0 <5%
:KANSAS R AT FT RILEY KS
FTRK1 (TOP) 19.0 <5% 21.0 <5% 26.0 <5% 33.0 <5%
:KANSAS R AT MANHATTAN KS
MHKK1 (TOP) 16.0 6% 18.0 <5% 26.0 <5% 42.0 <5%
:KANSAS R AT WAMEGO KS NO.2
WMGK1 (TOP) 17.0 <5% 19.0 <5% 26.0 <5% 38.0 <5%
:VERMILLION CR AT WAMEGO KS 11NE
VCWK1 (TOP) 18.0 6% 20.0 5% 24.0 <5% 30.0 <5%
:ROCK CR AT LOUISVILLE KS
LISK1 (TOP) 25.0 10% 27.0 9% 33.0 7% 43.0 <5%
:KANSAS R AT BELVUE KS 4SE
BVUK1 (TOP) 18.0 6% 20.0 <5% 28.0 <5% 33.0 <5%
:CROSS CR AT ROSSVILLE KS
RSSK1 (TOP) 23.0 5% 25.0 <5% 29.0 <5% 31.0 <5%
:MILL CR AT PAXICO KS 1SW
PXCK1 (TOP) 19.0 21% 21.0 20% 31.0 <5% 33.0 <5%
:KANSAS R AT TOPEKA KS
TPAK1 (TOP) 15.0 49% 26.0 <5% 27.0 <5% 44.0 <5%
:SOLDIER CR AT DELIA KS 3E
DELK1 (TOP) 24.0 18% 26.0 8% 26.5 6% 29.5 <5%
:SOLDIER CR AT TOPEKA KS 4NW
TOPK1 (TOP) 27.0 <5% 29.0 <5% 34.0 <5% 40.0 <5%
:DELAWARE R AT MUSCOTAH KS 2S
MSCK1 (EAX) 25.0 26% 27.0 18% 28.0 14% 36.0 <5%
:KANSAS R AT LECOMPTON KS 1NE
LCPK1 (TOP) 15.0 8% 17.0 5% 23.8 <5% 27.0 <5%
:KANSAS R AT LAWRENCE KS HWY 40
LWRK1 (TOP) 16.0 8% 18.0 <5% 20.0 <5% 29.0 <5%
:WAKARUSA R AT WAKARUSA KS
WRWK1 (TOP) 13.0 10% 15.0 9% 22.0 <5% 24.0 <5%
:WAKARUSA R AT LAWRENCE KS 4S
LAWK1 (TOP) 21.0 <5% 23.0 <5% 25.0 <5% 45.0 <5%
:STRANGER CR AT EASTON KS
ESTK1 (EAX) 15.0 30% 17.0 23% 18.0 18% 23.0 <5%
:STRANGER CR AT TONGANOXIE KS 4E
TNGK1 (EAX) 20.0 29% 23.0 20% 30.0 <5% 35.0 <5%
:KANSAS R AT DESOTO KS 1N
DSOK1 (EAX) 24.0 <5% 26.0 <5% 33.0 <5% 36.0 <5%
:KANSAS R AT LAKE QUIVIRA KS 1NW
KLQK1 (EAX) 23.0 <5% 26.0 <5% 33.0 <5% 38.0 <5%
:WILDCAT CR AT MANHATTAN KS SCENIC DR
MWCK1 (TOP) 10.0 20% 14.0 11% 17.0 7% 23.0 <5%
:END OF MESSAGE
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