292
FGUS53 KKRF 301411
RVFGRA
RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1410Z WED SEP 30 2026
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.
: FORECAST GROUP IS GRAND
: **********************************************************
: *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF ***
: **********************************************************
: ==> THIS FORECAST INCLUDES OBSD PRECIP & 48 HOURS OF QPF
RIVER/STATION FS TDY F O R E C A S T
THOMPSON RIVER
DAVIS CITY IA 12.0 5.0 CREST NEAR 11.8 FT 10/02 PM
GRAND RIVER
CHILLICOTHE 3 S MO 24.0 9.8 CREST NEAR 25.1 FT 10/02 AM
SUMNER 2 SW MO 26.0 15.1 CREST NEAR 33.1 FT 10/03
EARLY AM
CHARITON RIVER
CHARITON 5 SSE IA 19.5 8.9 CREST NEAR 16.3 FT 10/02
EARLY AM
PRAIRIE HILL 2 NW MO 15.0 3.2 CREST NEAR 14.1 FT 10/02 PM
:________________________________________________________________
:DAVIS CITY, IA - THOMPSON RIVER HSA - DMX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.0 FT AT 1300Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 3.4 / 3.2 / 3.1 / 4.8
:
.AR :CREST: DVSI4 1003 Z DC202609301410/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 11.8
.ER DVSI4 20260930 Z DC202609301410/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 6.0 / 6.6 / 6.9
.E2 : 1001 : / 7.4 / 8.4 / 9.4 / 10.3
.E3 : 1002 : / 11.1 / 11.6 / 11.8 / 11.6
.E4 : 1003 : / 10.8 / 9.6 / 8.1 / 6.2
.E5 : 1004 : / 4.6 / 4.1 / 3.8 / 3.5
.E6 : 1005 : / 3.3
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 0.00 / 0.33 / 0.54 / 1.18
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 13Z IS 2.05 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 0.65 / 0.14 / 0.26
: 1001 / 0.42 / 0.48 / 0.13 / 0.09
: 1002 / 0.01
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 2.18 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:CHILLICOTHE 3 S, MO - GRAND RIVER HSA - EAX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 22.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 9.8 FT AT 1345Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 12.4 / 11.4 / 10.6 / 9.9
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09Z ON 10/02/2026
.AR :CREST: CHZM7 1002 Z DC202609301410/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 25.1
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 10/02/2026
.ER CHZM7 20260930 Z DC202609301410/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 9.5 / 9.7 / 10.6
.E2 : 1001 : / 14.2 / 17.0 / 20.2 / 23.6
.E3 : 1002 : / 25.1 / 25.1 / 23.9 / 23.2
.E4 : 1003 : / 22.7 / 22.0 / 21.3 / 20.4
.E5 : 1004 : / 19.2 / 17.9 / 16.4 / 14.8
.E6 : 1005 : / 12.9
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 0.00 / 0.06 / 0.29 / 0.15
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 13Z IS 0.50 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 0.23 / 0.03 / 0.07
: 1001 / 0.26 / 0.51 / 0.30 / 0.28
: 1002 / 0.02
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 1.70 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:SUMNER 2 SW, MO - GRAND RIVER HSA - EAX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 40.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 15.1 FT AT 1345Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 18.6 / 17.6 / 16.5 / 15.4
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09Z ON 10/02/2026
.AR :CREST: SNZM7 1003 Z DC202609301410/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 33.1
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09Z ON 10/05/2026
.ER SNZM7 20260930 Z DC202609301410/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 14.5 / 13.8 / 13.6
.E2 : 1001 : / 14.0 / 15.6 / 18.1 / 25.6
.E3 : 1002 : / 30.5 / 32.0 / 32.8 / 33.1
.E4 : 1003 : / 33.0 / 32.6 / 32.2 / 31.6
.E5 : 1004 : / 30.9 / 30.1 / 28.7 / 26.7
.E6 : 1005 : / 24.6
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.30 / 0.07
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 13Z IS 0.37 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 0.12 / 0.02 / 0.03
: 1001 / 0.23 / 0.90 / 0.47 / 0.32
: 1002 / 0.03
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 2.12 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:CHARITON 5 SSE, IA - CHARITON RIVER HSA - DMX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 19.5 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 16.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.9 FT AT 1345Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 8.3 / 7.3 / 6.8 / 7.3
:
.AR :CREST: CHTI4 1002 Z DC202609301410/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 16.3
.ER CHTI4 20260930 Z DC202609301410/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 10.6 / 13.0 / 14.0
.E2 : 1001 : / 14.7 / 15.5 / 16.1 / 16.3
.E3 : 1002 : / 16.1 / 15.6 / 14.9 / 14.1
.E4 : 1003 : / 13.3 / 12.1 / 11.1 / 10.3
.E5 : 1004 : / 9.4 / 8.5 / 7.8 / 7.2
.E6 : 1005 : / 6.6
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 0.00 / 0.04 / 0.13 / 0.88
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 13Z IS 1.05 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 0.47 / 0.16 / 0.17
: 1001 / 0.45 / 0.45 / 0.19 / 0.09
: 1002 / 0.00
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 1.98 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:PRAIRIE HILL 2 NW, MO - CHARITON RIVER HSA - EAX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.2 FT AT 1345Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.3
:
.AR :CREST: PRIM7 1003 Z DC202609301410/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 14.1
.ER PRIM7 20260930 Z DC202609301410/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3
.E2 : 1001 : / 3.3 / 3.4 / 5.0 / 8.4
.E3 : 1002 : / 11.8 / 13.6 / 14.1 / 14.1
.E4 : 1003 : / 13.3 / 12.0 / 10.4 / 8.7
.E5 : 1004 : / 7.8 / 7.4 / 7.3 / 7.1
.E6 : 1005 : / 6.8
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.19 / 0.04
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 13Z IS 0.23 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 0.04 / 0.00 / 0.01
: 1001 / 0.19 / 0.71 / 0.59 / 0.38
: 1002 / 0.07
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 1.99 INCHES
:****************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA - HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA
:WFO - WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
:DMX - NWS WFO DES MOINES, IOWA
:EAX - NWS WFO PLEASANT HILL, MISSOURI
:OBS - OBSERVED
:EST - ESTIMATED
:M - MISSING
:STAGE FCST - RIVER STAGE FORECAST INCLUDING FUTURE PRECIPITATION
:FLOW FCST - RIVER FLOW FORECAST INCLUDING FUTURE PRECIPITATION
:PRECIP - PRECIPITATION
:QPE - OBSERVED RADAR ESTIMATED PRECIPITATION
:QPF - FORECASTED MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION FOR LOCAL BASIN
:
:
:MBRFC STJ
:...END OF MESSAGE...
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