647
FGUS53 KKRF 301412
RVFLRP
RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1412Z WED SEP 30 2026
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.
: FORECAST GROUP IS LWRREP
: **********************************************************
: *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF ***
: **********************************************************
: ==> THIS FORECAST INCLUDES OBSD PRECIP & 48 HOURS OF QPF
RIVER/STATION FS TDY F O R E C A S T
REPUBLICAN RIVER
GUIDE ROCK 2 S NE 12.5 3.6 CREST NEAR 11.1 FT 10/02
EARLY AM
BUFFALO CREEK
JAMESTOWN 1 N KS 16.0 3.2E CREST NEAR 14.8 FT 10/01 PM
REPUBLICAN RIVER
CLAY CENTER 1 S KS 15.0 9.4 CREST NEAR 16.4 FT 10/02 AM
:________________________________________________________________
:GUIDE ROCK 2 S, NE - REPUBLICAN RIVER HSA - GID
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 12.5 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 10.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.6 FT AT 1330Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 5.4 / 5.2 / 3.8 / 3.7
:
.AR :CREST: GUIN1 1002 Z DC202609301412/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 11.1
.ER GUIN1 20260930 Z DC202609301412/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 3.7 / 5.7 / 7.6
.E2 : 1001 : / 9.0 / 10.1 / 10.7 / 11.1
.E3 : 1002 : / 11.1 / 10.9 / 10.4 / 9.9
.E4 : 1003 : / 9.0 / 8.1 / 7.3 / 6.6
.E5 : 1004 : / 5.8 / 4.9 / 4.4 / 4.3
.E6 : 1005 : / 4.2
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 0.01 / 0.03 / 0.22 / 0.03
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 13Z IS 0.29 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 0.24 / 1.05 / 0.44
: 1001 / 0.06 / 0.16 / 0.04 / 0.00
: 1002 / 0.00
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 1.99 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:JAMESTOWN 1 N, KS - BUFFALO CREEK HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT
:LATEST ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE 3.2 FT AT 1200Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 3.2E / 3.2E / 3.2E / 3.2E
:
.AR :CREST: JMSK1 1002 Z DC202609301412/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 14.8
.ER JMSK1 20260930 Z DC202609301412/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 3.2 / 4.8 / 7.6
.E2 : 1001 : / 11.2 / 14.1 / 14.8 / 13.7
.E3 : 1002 : / 11.8 / 9.9 / 8.2 / 6.7
.E4 : 1003 : / 5.7 / 5.1 / 4.8 / 4.7
.E5 : 1004 : / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.5
.E6 : 1005 : / 4.5
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 0.00 / 0.14 / 0.02 / 0.43
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 12Z IS 0.59 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 0.35 / 1.39 / 0.51
: 1001 / 0.06 / 0.08 / 0.08 / 0.00
: 1002 / 0.00
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 2.47 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:CLAY CENTER 1 S, KS - REPUBLICAN RIVER HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 9.4 FT AT 1330Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 7.9 / 9.0 / 9.4 / 9.4
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 10/01/2026
.AR :CREST: CYCK1 1002 Z DC202609301412/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 16.4
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 00Z ON 10/04/2026
.ER CYCK1 20260930 Z DC202609301412/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 9.4 / 9.7 / 10.8
.E2 : 1001 : / 12.8 / 14.7 / 15.7 / 16.2
.E3 : 1002 : / 16.4 / 16.4 / 16.3 / 16.1
.E4 : 1003 : / 15.8 / 15.5 / 15.0 / 14.5
.E5 : 1004 : / 13.9 / 13.4 / 12.8 / 12.4
.E6 : 1005 : / 12.0
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0929 / 0.00 / 0.57 / 0.21 / 0.75
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 13Z IS 1.53 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 0.46 / 0.76 / 0.66
: 1001 / 0.08 / 0.18 / 0.10 / 0.02
: 1002 / 0.00
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 2.26 INCHES
:****************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA - HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA
:WFO - WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
:GID - NWS WFO HASTINGS, NEBRASKA
:TOP - NWS WFO TOPEKA, KANSAS
:OBS - OBSERVED
:EST - ESTIMATED
:M - MISSING
:STAGE FCST - RIVER STAGE FORECAST INCLUDING FUTURE PRECIPITATION
:FLOW FCST - RIVER FLOW FORECAST INCLUDING FUTURE PRECIPITATION
:PRECIP - PRECIPITATION
:QPE - OBSERVED RADAR ESTIMATED PRECIPITATION
:QPF - FORECASTED MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION FOR LOCAL BASIN
:
:
:MBRFC JJL
:...END OF MESSAGE...
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