229
FGUS53 KKRF 301908
RVFLRP
RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1908Z WED SEP 30 2026
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.
: FORECAST GROUP IS LWRREP
: *** AFTERNOON FORECAST ***
: **********************************************************
: *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF ***
: **********************************************************
: ==> THIS FORECAST INCLUDES OBSD PRECIP & 48 HOURS OF QPF
RIVER/STATION FS TDY F O R E C A S T
REPUBLICAN RIVER
GUIDE ROCK 2 S NE 12.5 3.6 CREST NEAR 13.2 FT 10/02 AM
HARDY 1 SW NE 11.0 2.7 CREST NEAR 10.3 FT 10/01
EARLY PM
SCANDIA NO.2 KS 10.0 3.8 CREST NEAR 10.7 FT 10/01
EARLY AM
BUFFALO CREEK
JAMESTOWN 1 N KS 16.0 3.2E CREST NEAR 16.6 FT 10/01 PM
REPUBLICAN RIVER
CONCORDIA 1 N KS 15.0 6.1 CREST NEAR 13.5 FT 10/02
EARLY AM
CLAY CENTER 1 S KS 15.0 9.2 CREST NEAR 16.7 FT 10/03
EARLY AM
:________________________________________________________________
:GUIDE ROCK 2 S, NE - REPUBLICAN RIVER HSA - GID
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 12.5 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 10.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.6 FT AT 1830Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 5.2 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.6
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03Z ON 10/02/2026
.AR :CREST: GUIN1 1002 Z DC202609301908/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 13.2
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03Z ON 10/03/2026
.ER GUIN1 20261001 Z DC202609301908/DH00/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 3.6 / 5.9
.E2 : 1001 : / 8.6 / 10.6 / 11.8 / 12.8
.E3 : 1002 : / 13.2 / 13.1 / 12.7 / 11.9
.E4 : 1003 : / 11.1 / 10.3 / 9.4 / 8.4
.E5 : 1004 : / 7.6 / 7.0 / 6.5 / 6.2
.E6 : 1005 : / 6.0 / 5.9
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 0.03 / 0.22 / 0.03 / 0.20
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 18Z IS 0.48 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 1.33 / 1.15
: 1001 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1002 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 2.50 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:HARDY 1 SW, NE - REPUBLICAN RIVER HSA - GID
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 9.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 13.5 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 15.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.7 FT AT 1830Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.7
:
.AR :CREST: HDYN1 1001 Z DC202609301908/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 10.3
.ER HDYN1 20261001 Z DC202609301908/DH00/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 4.1 / 6.8
.E2 : 1001 : / 9.3 / 10.3 / 10.3 / 10.0
.E3 : 1002 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.7 / 9.4
.E4 : 1003 : / 9.0 / 8.3 / 7.4 / 6.6
.E5 : 1004 : / 5.8 / 5.2 / 4.5 / 3.9
.E6 : 1005 : / 3.5 / 3.3
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 0.12 / 0.06 / 0.02 / 0.16
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 18Z IS 0.36 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 1.06 / 1.85
: 1001 / 0.03 / 0.01 / 0.01 / 0.00
: 1002 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 2.96 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:SCANDIA NO.2, KS - REPUBLICAN RIVER HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 13.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.8 FT AT 1815Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 3.7
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03Z ON 10/01/2026
.AR :CREST: SNDK1 1001 Z DC202609301908/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 10.7
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09Z ON 10/01/2026
.ER SNDK1 20261001 Z DC202609301908/DH00/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 4.4 / 10.7
.E2 : 1001 : / 9.8 / 9.5 / 8.9 / 8.6
.E3 : 1002 : / 8.3 / 8.0 / 7.8 / 7.7
.E4 : 1003 : / 7.6 / 7.3 / 7.0 / 6.2
.E5 : 1004 : / 5.5 / 4.4 / 3.8 / 4.1
.E6 : 1005 : / 3.2 / 2.8
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 0.09 / 0.00 / 0.27 / 0.23
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 18Z IS 0.59 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 1.05 / 1.63
: 1001 / 0.04 / 0.04 / 0.03 / 0.00
: 1002 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 2.79 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:JAMESTOWN 1 N, KS - BUFFALO CREEK HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT
:LATEST ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE 3.2 FT AT 1800Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 3.2E / 3.2E / 3.2E / 3.2E
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 10/01/2026
.AR :CREST: JMSK1 1002 Z DC202609301908/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 16.6
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 06Z ON 10/02/2026
.ER JMSK1 20261001 Z DC202609301908/DH00/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 4.5 / 7.4
.E2 : 1001 : / 11.2 / 14.8 / 16.6 / 16.0
.E3 : 1002 : / 14.1 / 11.8 / 9.7 / 7.9
.E4 : 1003 : / 6.5 / 5.6 / 5.2 / 5.0
.E5 : 1004 : / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.7
.E6 : 1005 : / 4.7 / 4.7
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 0.16 / 0.02 / 0.51 / 0.27
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 18Z IS 0.96 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 1.09 / 1.23
: 1001 / 0.05 / 0.07 / 0.06 / 0.00
: 1002 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 2.50 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:CONCORDIA 1 N, KS - REPUBLICAN RIVER HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.1 FT AT 1830Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 6.3 / 6.2 / 6.2 / 6.1
:
.AR :CREST: CNKK1 1002 Z DC202609301908/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 13.5
.ER CNKK1 20261001 Z DC202609301908/DH00/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 6.5 / 8.0
.E2 : 1001 : / 11.0 / 13.0 / 13.4 / 13.5
.E3 : 1002 : / 13.3 / 13.0 / 12.6 / 12.2
.E4 : 1003 : / 11.7 / 11.4 / 11.2 / 10.9
.E5 : 1004 : / 10.6 / 10.1 / 9.4 / 8.8
.E6 : 1005 : / 8.3 / 7.9
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 0.13 / 0.07 / 0.25 / 0.43
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 18Z IS 0.88 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 1.18 / 0.59
: 1001 / 0.04 / 0.08 / 0.09 / 0.00
: 1002 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 1.98 INCHES
:________________________________________________________________
:CLAY CENTER 1 S, KS - REPUBLICAN RIVER HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 9.2 FT AT 1830Z ON SEP 30
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 9.0 / 9.4 / 9.4 / 9.2
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03Z ON 10/02/2026
.AR :CREST: CYCK1 1003 Z DC202609301908/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 16.7
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 06Z ON 10/05/2026
.ER CYCK1 20261001 Z DC202609301908/DH00/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0930 : / 9.2 / 10.2
.E2 : 1001 : / 12.0 / 13.6 / 14.7 / 15.5
.E3 : 1002 : / 16.0 / 16.4 / 16.6 / 16.7
.E4 : 1003 : / 16.6 / 16.6 / 16.4 / 16.2
.E5 : 1004 : / 15.9 / 15.7 / 15.4 / 15.0
.E6 : 1005 : / 14.5 / 14.0
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (PAST 24 HRS):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0930 / 0.57 / 0.21 / 0.75 / 0.36
:
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPE TOTAL ENDING SEP 30 AT 18Z IS 1.89 INCHES
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP(INCHES) (NEXT 48 HRS):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0930 / 0.72 / 0.24
: 1001 / 0.05 / 0.08 / 0.19 / 0.01
: 1002 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 02 1.29 INCHES
:****************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA - HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA
:WFO - WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
:GID - NWS WFO HASTINGS, NEBRASKA
:TOP - NWS WFO TOPEKA, KANSAS
:OBS - OBSERVED
:EST - ESTIMATED
:M - MISSING
:STAGE FCST - RIVER STAGE FORECAST INCLUDING FUTURE PRECIPITATION
:FLOW FCST - RIVER FLOW FORECAST INCLUDING FUTURE PRECIPITATION
:PRECIP - PRECIPITATION
:QPE - OBSERVED RADAR ESTIMATED PRECIPITATION
:QPF - FORECASTED MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION FOR LOCAL BASIN
:
:
:MBRFC JJL
:...END OF MESSAGE...
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page