487
FXUS63 KLBF 212337
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
637 PM CDT MON OCT 21 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE
THE MAIN THREATS, BUT THERE IS A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED
TORNADO.
- AFTER THIS EVENING, PRECIPITATION IS GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED
FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE 60S AND 70S THROUGH
THURSDAY THEN A COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
50S AND 60S ON FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT MON OCT 21 2024
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/UPPER LOW IS OVER COLORADO, WYOMING, KANSAS,
AND NEBRASKA. TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE 60S AND 70S ACROSS
WESTERN, NORTH CENTRAL, AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA. WINDS ARE MOSTLY OUT
OF THE SOUTH. A WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND SHIFT IS MOVING INTO WESTERN
NEBRASKA ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER LOW WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 30S
AND 40S. DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 40S AND 50S AHEAD OF THE WIND SHIFT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING AND MOVING ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
UPPER LOW. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE TODAY ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON WITH
MARGINALLY HIGH INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR AROUND 35 KNOTS. THE MAIN
THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS ALTHOUGH THERE IS A
SMALL THREAT OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY
WILL BE IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S WITH SKIES CLEARING FROM THE
WEST THIS EVENING. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO END EARLY THIS
EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW/TROUGH PROGRESSES EAST. WEST WINDS WILL BE
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 40S TO LOW
50S.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH ON TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
TROUGH PROGRESSES FURTHER EAST. WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 20 TO 35 MPH
ARE EXPECTED IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AND WILL DECREASE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL BE
IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S WITH SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. A
SURFACE HIGH NEARBY ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO LOW
TEMPERATURES TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE LOW 30S TO LOW 40S.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT MON OCT 21 2024
WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE SURFACE HIGH
ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN
THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES. TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL
BE A LITTLE WARMER THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING OUT
OF THE SOUTH. LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER
30S TO AROUND 50 DEGREES.
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS ON
THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO NEBRASKA ON
THURSDAY WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY
WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. A SURFACE HIGH WILL BE
ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND LOW TEMPERATURES
IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. LOW TEMPERATURES
FRIDAY NIGHT WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE LOW TO MID 30S. WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN OUT OF THE SOUTH ON SATURDAY WITH A SURFACE TROUGH TO THE
WEST AND A SURFACE HIGH TO THE EAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S. LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY
NIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOWER 30S TO AROUND 40 DEGREES. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO MID
70S. LOW TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 630 PM CDT MON OCT 21 2024
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THERE WILL BE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA, BUT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY SUNSET. WINDS
WILL SWITCH FROM THE SOUTH TO THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AS A FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE LATE MORNING
AND CONTINUE TO REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON WITH
WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 KTS SUSTAINED AND GUST UP TO 30 KTS.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...GOMEZ
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