112  
FNUS53 KLBF 200905  
FWFLBF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN  
AND NORTH CENTRAL FOR NEBRASKA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE  
305 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST  
THIS EVENING...  
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS  
EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND A TRAILING COLD  
FRONT THAT WILL ENTER NEBRASKA WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD  
NEAR CRITICAL AND LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY.  
VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 60 MPH AT TIMES ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEBRASKA (EASTERN ZONE 208, NORTHERN ZONES  
206 AND 209). ADDITIONALLY, A CORE OF DRY AIR NEAR THE FRONT WILL  
RESULT IN LOW HUMIDITY. CONFIDENCE IN HUMIDITY VALUES REACHING OR  
COMING WITHIN 5% OF CRITICAL THRESHOLDS GENERALLY LINES UP FROM  
NEAR VALENTINE TO NEAR BROKEN BOW. FOR FAR NORTH CENTRAL NEB  
(O'NEILL), HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD REMAIN AT LEAST 10% ABOVE  
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS, AND CONCERN IS LOWER WHERE SUBSTANTIAL RAIN  
FELL A COUPLE DAYS AGO. TO THE WEST (PANHANDLE AND FAR SOUTHWEST  
NEB), THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, WHICH LIMITS THE MATCH-UP WITH PEAK HEATING AND LOWEST  
HUMIDITY. NEVERTHELESS, WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF RAPID FIRE SPREAD  
THROUGHOUT THE REGION.  
 
FOR THURSDAY, LOW HUMIDITY VALUES (20%) REMAIN OVER NORTHWEST  
NEBRASKA NEAR THE PINE RIDGE, BUT WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER (10  
MPH). BEYOND FRIDAY, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE GENERALLY LOW GIVEN  
SUB-CRITICAL HUMIDITY AND WIND PROFILES.  
 
NEZ204-210030-  
EASTERN PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR-  
205 AM MST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM MST  
THIS AFTERNOON...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....19-24.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS AROUND 40.  
 
 
 
NEZ210-210030-  
FRENCHMAN BASIN-  
205 AM MST WED NOV 20 2024  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST UP TO 5 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.  
 
 
 
NEZ206-210030-  
SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST-  
305 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST  
THIS EVENING...  
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS  
EVENING...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
 
 
 
NEZ219-210030-  
LOESS PLAINS-  
305 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS  
EVENING...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
40S.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.  
 
 
 
NEZ208-210030-  
NIOBRARA VALLEY/FORT NIOBRARA NWR/SAMUEL R MCKELVIE NATIONAL  
FOREST-  
305 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST  
THIS EVENING...  
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS  
EVENING...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 40 TO 45 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
 
 
 
NEZ209-210030-  
LOUP RIVERS BASIN-  
305 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST  
THIS EVENING...  
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS  
EVENING...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 30S.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
 
 
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