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FXUS63 KLBF 072121
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
321 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO WARM THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH
HIGHS IN THE 70S BY MONDAY.
- A STRONG SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATE NEXT WEEK
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 318 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2025
THE SFC LOW HAS TRACKED EASTWARD INTO EASTERN KS PUSHING
THE GREATEST FORCING EASTWARD AND ENDING SNOW ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS A RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. FOR
TONIGHT, MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST, COOLING PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AS CLOUDS DECREASE OVERNIGHT GIVE WAY TO CLEAR
SKIES, WINDS WILL BE CALM AND RECENT SNOWPACK WILL LEAD TO
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND SHOULD SEE TEMPERATURES COOL RATHER QUICKLY.
LOWERED AROUND 5 DEGREES IN SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA FOR TONIGHT TRENDING TOWARD 10% BUT EVEN THAT MAY NOT BE
COLD ENOUGH AND COULD SEE SOME ISOLATED LOCATIONS DROP INTO THE LOW
TEENS OR UPPER SINGLE DIGITS.
FOR SATURDAY, WARMED TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEBRASKA, GENERALLY FROM HWY 2 SOUTHWARD. KEPT TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTH WHERE THERE WAS SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK COOLER AS SNOWPACK
IS EXPECTED TO KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 318 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2025
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD MOVING
EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THEN THE RIDGE BECOMES MORE
AMPLITUDE WITH ZONAL FLOW MID-WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD
THROUGH THE WEEK WITH THE WARMEST DAY ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
70S. DRY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THROUGH MID-WEEK WITH THE NEXT CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION ARRIVING TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK. A FAIRLY
STRONG LOW WILL MOVE ONSHORE AND INTO THE PLAINS BY THE END OF THE
WEEK. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS STILL A WAYS OUT, THERE HAS BEEN SOME
MODEL AGREEMENT AND THIS COULD POTENTIAL BE AN IMPACTFUL SYSTEM
WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND BREEZY WINDS. WILL
NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1133 AM CST FRI MAR 7 2025
LOWER CIGS STICK AROUND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SANDHILLS INTO SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA WITH MVFR CONDITIONS AT TIMES, INCLUDING KLBF TERMINAL.
CIGS WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
WITH VFR CONDITIONS REMAINING THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA INTO
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL SANDHILLS WITH NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND
10 TO 15 KTS AND GUST UP TO 25 KTS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
BY EARLY EVENING WITH WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN SANDHILLS OUT
OF THE WEST AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA THEN TURN TO THE WEST AS
WELL SATURDAY MORNING AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...GOMEZ
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