427
FXUS63 KLBF 072326
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
526 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO WARM THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH
HIGHS IN THE 70S BY MONDAY.
- A STRONG SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATE NEXT WEEK
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 318 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2025
THE SFC LOW HAS TRACKED EASTWARD INTO EASTERN KS PUSHING
THE GREATEST FORCING EASTWARD AND ENDING SNOW ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS A RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. FOR
TONIGHT, MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST, COOLING PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AS CLOUDS DECREASE OVERNIGHT GIVE WAY TO CLEAR
SKIES, WINDS WILL BE CALM AND RECENT SNOWPACK WILL LEAD TO
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND SHOULD SEE TEMPERATURES COOL RATHER QUICKLY.
LOWERED AROUND 5 DEGREES IN SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA FOR TONIGHT TRENDING TOWARD 10% BUT EVEN THAT MAY NOT BE
COLD ENOUGH AND COULD SEE SOME ISOLATED LOCATIONS DROP INTO THE LOW
TEENS OR UPPER SINGLE DIGITS.
FOR SATURDAY, WARMED TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEBRASKA, GENERALLY FROM HWY 2 SOUTHWARD. KEPT TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTH WHERE THERE WAS SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK COOLER AS SNOWPACK
IS EXPECTED TO KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 318 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2025
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD MOVING
EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THEN THE RIDGE BECOMES MORE
AMPLITUDE WITH ZONAL FLOW MID-WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD
THROUGH THE WEEK WITH THE WARMEST DAY ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
70S. DRY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THROUGH MID-WEEK WITH THE NEXT CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION ARRIVING TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK. A FAIRLY
STRONG LOW WILL MOVE ONSHORE AND INTO THE PLAINS BY THE END OF THE
WEEK. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS STILL A WAYS OUT, THERE HAS BEEN SOME
MODEL AGREEMENT AND THIS COULD POTENTIAL BE AN IMPACTFUL SYSTEM
WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND BREEZY WINDS. WILL
NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 526 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA THROUGH THE EFFECTIVE TAF PERIOD. WINDS REMAIN
LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD, WITH WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA
REMAINING STEADY OUT OF THE WEST. ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA,
NORTHERLY WINDS TAKE ON A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION OVERNIGHT,
BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY BY THE MORNING. WHILE SOME LIGHT MID TO UPPER
LEVEL CLOUDS CAN BE OBSERVED ON SATELLITE, CURRENT OBSERVATIONS HOLD
CEILINGS WELL WITHIN VFR CRITERIA. WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE FOR
POTENTIAL RADIATION FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT WHERE THERE IS A FRESH
SNOW PACK, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN FOG DEVELOPMENT IS LOW, SO HAVE
OMITTED FROM TAFS FOR THE TIME BEING.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...RICHIE
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