610
FXUS63 KLBF 082318
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
518 PM CST SAT MAR 8 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MOST OF THE WEEK
- A STRONG STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE ON TRACK TO IMPACT THE
CENTRAL PLAINS LATE THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 310 PM CST SAT MAR 8 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUE TO BUILD IN THROUGH THE
WEEKEND MOVING EASTWARD. FOR TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY, DID WARM
SEVERAL DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST AS TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN
OVER PERFORMING MODELS THE LAST 2 DAYS. TRENDED TO THE WARMEST
MODELS AND HAVE HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 60S ACROSS THE I-80
CORRIDOR AND SOUTHWARD. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY STILL SHOWS A
PRETTY GOOD SWATH OF SNOW PACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN SANDHILLS
INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA, DESPITE TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOW 40S THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE SNOW PACK IS STILL RATHER
HEARTY THERE, DID KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES COOLER FOR TOMORROW,
GENERALLY HWY 2 NORTHWARD, KEEPING TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 50S.
FOR TONIGHT THERE COULD BE THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME PATCHY FOG
IN LOCATIONS THAT SAW DECENT SNOW MELT WITH THE EXTRA LL
MOISTURE AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE WAS LOW
ENOUGH TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 310 PM CST SAT MAR 8 2025
MONDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OUT OF THE NEXT WEEK AS WESTERLY
WINDS AND 850MB TEMPS RANGING FROM 15-20 DEGREES CELSIUS COMBINE
WITH A GOOD THERMAL RIDGE ACROSS WESTERN INTO CENTRAL NEBRASKA BY
AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE 60S TO LOW 70S, WHICH IS NEAR
20 TO 25 ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THERE WILL ALSO BE NEAR-
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR LOCATIONS ACROSS WESTERN AND
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA MONDAY AFTERNOON. MIN RH WILL BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER TEENS IN COMBINATION WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
BREEZY WINDS. THIS WOULD GENERALLY BE THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF FIRE
WX ZONE 204 AND 206 AND ALL OF 210 AND 219. AT THIS TIME THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
FIRE WX ZONE 204 WITH WEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUST UP TO
35 MPH. ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF 206 AND ALL OF 210 AND 219
WINDS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUST UP TO 25 MPH.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN LOW THROUGH THURSDAY. A DEEP UPPER
LEVEL TROF MOVES EAST OFF THE COAST AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY
LATE WEEK, WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASING BY FRIDAY MORNING.
MODELS STILL CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD CONSENSUS WITH THE LOW TRACKING
FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
AND GREAT LAKES REGION. MOST MODELS SHOW THE LOW DEEPENING AS IT
MOVES NORTHEAST. CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN STRONG WINDS
MOVING INTO THE AREA BY FRIDAY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN AND POTENTIALLY SNOW. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SYSTEM AS IT STILL STILL ALMOST A WEEK OUT,
BUT GIVEN MODEL CONSISTENCY THIS FAR OUT, CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO
INCREASE IN AN IMPACTFUL SYSTEM ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 518 PM CST SAT MAR 8 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT AND TOMORROW ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA, LARGELY DRIVEN BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. WINDS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY OUT OF THE WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWEST GENERALLY REMAINING UNDER 10 KNOTS. SKIES REMAIN
MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD, WITH ONLY A FEW PASSING HIGH
CLOUDS EXPECTED.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...RICHIE
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