299
FXUS63 KLBF 022057
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
357 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WINDS QUICKLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH SKIES BECOMING
CLEAR. TEMPERATURES NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE LOW LYING AREAS LIKE RIVER VALLEYS.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THIS
WEEKEND.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS COULD PERSIST INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
WITH NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A WARNING
TREND IS THEN EXPECTED TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 158 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION OVERNIGHT. SKIES WILL CLEAR OVERNIGHT WITH
WINDS QUICKLY DECREASING AFTER SUNSET. SET UP FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING TONIGHT WITH THE LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES. IN FACT, LOW
SPOTS SUCH AS RIVER VALLEYS WILL LIKELY DROP TO NEAR THE FREEZING
MARK. STILL NOT AT OUR MEDIAN DATE FOR FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES SO
WON'T BE ISSUING ANY HEADLINES FOR FROST, ETC.
A LEEWARD TROUGH DEVELOPS THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. WINDS WILL SWITCH
AROUND TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST BUT REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE DAY. THE
AIR WILL BE QUITE DRY, BUT WITH THE LIGHT WINDS ANY FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL BE LOW. HIGHS WILL WARM SEVERAL DEGREES, BACK TO ABOVE
NORMAL, WITH LOWER TO MID 70S EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
THE LEEWARD TROUGH STRENGTHENS ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH DIGGING ALONG THE WEST COAST. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP
AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE REGION. DEW
POINTS WILL RISE A FEW DEGREES INTO THE LOWER 40S WITH THE RETURN OF
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW. THIS SHOULD KEEP HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR OR ABOVE
30% FOR THE MOST PART...KEEPING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS LOW OR
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED AT BEST.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 158 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025
ATTENTION NEXT WEEK TURNS TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT
SHOULD BE LOCATED OVER ARIZONA BY MONDAY EVENING. THE SET UP LOOKS
TO BE A CLASSIC OMEGA BLOCKING PATTERN, WITH ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW
CENTERED ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. BY TUESDAY THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ATTEMPT TO PUSH SLOWLY EASTWARD TOWARD THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. PROBABILITIES OVERALL HAVE DECREASED FOR BENEFICIAL
RAINFALL FROM THE THIS SYSTEM. HIGHEST CHANCES REMAIN ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA, AND THEN QUICKLY DIMINISH TO THE
NORTHEAST. CONFIDENCE ISN'T HIGH OVERALL DUE TO THIS OMEGA
BLOCKING SCENARIO, AND A SLIGHT SHIFT NORTHWARD WITH THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. LOW COULD MEAN MORE RAINFALL FOR OUR LOCAL AREA.
EVENTUALLY THE LOW MEANDERS AND FILLS AS IT HEADS INTO THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS MID-WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
REMAIN IN THE FORECAST AS THIS OCCURS, ENDING BY THE END OF THE
WEEK AS THE LOW COMPLETELY WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES.
TEMPERATURES WILL START THE WEEK NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL WITH THE
EXPECTED CLOUD COVER AND POSSIBLE RAINFALL. BY THE END OF THE WEEK,
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM AGAIN BACK TO SOMEWHAT ABOVE NORMAL.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF AN
VTN TO LBF LINE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THESE QUICKLY END LATE
THIS AFTERNOON WITH SKIES BECOMING CLEAR TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. GUSTY NORTH WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH
SATURDAY.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...TAYLOR
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