611
FXUS63 KLBF 051154
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
654 AM CDT MON MAY 5 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY
- BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON
- WARMER TEMPERATURES TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 406 AM CDT MON MAY 5 2025
THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE THE BREEZY
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND THE INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST CONUS
WILL MOVES NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. AS THE LOW APPROACHES
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA, GENERALLY ALONG AND
WEST OF HWY 83 WHERE THE TIGHTEST SFC PRESSURE GRADIENTS EXIST. WIND
SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL BE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA,
WITH WIND GUST OF 30 MPH OR GREATER.
AS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL ADVECT MOISTURE INTO THE AREA, HOWEVER FOR MONDAY, MOISTURE
WILL BE LIMITED IN COVERAGE, WITH THE BETTER MOISTURE ACROSS FAR
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. THIS WILL LIMIT PRECIPITATION CHANCES MONDAY
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MANY CAMS KEPT CONVECTION AND SHOWERS OUT OF
THE FORECAST AREA IN THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT, THUS
LIMITED THE POPS IN THE FORECAST GENERALLY 25 PERCENT OR LESS
FOR PRECIP THROUGH MIDNIGHT MONDAY AS MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY
WITH ONLY ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT. EASTERLY WINDS TUESDAY WILL
ADVECT MORE MOISTURE INTO THE REGION INCREASING THE THREAT FOR
PRECIPITATION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, GENERALLY ACROSS WESTERN
NEBRASKA, WEST OF HWY 83. ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS, SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. AS FOR QPF
VALUES, TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL GENERALLY
BE LIGHT AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR LESS.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 406 AM CDT MON MAY 5 2025
THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND, UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES EASTWARD
INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WARMING
TREND, REACHING THE 80S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. LIMITED MOISTURE
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WILL KEEP THE THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION
CHANCES LOW.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 651 AM CDT MON MAY 5 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KTS WITH GUST OF 20 KTS OR
GREATER THIS AFTERNOON, STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN
NEBRASKA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING TO AROUND 10 KTS THEN
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES WITH WIND SPEEDS LESS THAN
5 KTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT, GENERALLY ACROSS WESTERN AND FAR SW NEBRASKA.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...GOMEZ
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