679
FXUS63 KLBF 261729
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1229 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE THIS MORNING, DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED
TODAY
- ISOLATED CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY, SOME OF WHICH MAY
BE SEVERE
- WARMER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
- ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 436 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR PATCHY FOG. AS RAINFALL CONTINUES TO PUSH EASTWARD EARLY THIS
MORNING, THE COMBINATION OF THE RECENT RAINFALL AND LIGHT WINDS,
GENERALLY LESS THAN 5 MPH COULD POTENTIALLY CREATE A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR FOG. AT THIS TIME BELIEVE IT WILL GENERALLY BE
PATCHY IN NATURE, GENERALLY AROUND THE RIVER VALLEY AND LOW-LYING
AREAS, BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR IF FOG POTENTIAL BECOMES MORE
WIDESPREAD THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY WILL BE DRY WITH
NO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY
BE NEAR NORMAL TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S.
FOR FRIDAY THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL GENERALLY BE ACROSS THE DAKOTAS WHERE THE
TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL DAKOTAS.
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW 90S ACROSS WESTERN AND
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. THE STRONG SFC HEATING IN THE VICINITY OF
THE TROF SHOULD HAVE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT, MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA INTO THE NORTHERN
SANDHILLS. THERE IS A MARGINAL TO SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS, HOWEVER
CONFIDENCE IS LOW THUS HAVE KEPT POPS AT 25% OR LESS FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 436 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
SATURDAY WILL BE ANOTHER WARM DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE
LOW TO MID 90S. THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE SHORT LIVED
HOWEVER AS A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SATURDAY COOLING
TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS THE
COLD FRONT APPROACHES A BETTER CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS
EXIST SATURDAY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS THE TROF DEEPENS AS IT TRANSVERSES
EASTWARD. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL GENERALLY EAST
OF HWY 61. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DAILY
SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
LINGERING CLOUDINESS SHOULD GRADUALLY WANE AS MODEST LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PROGRESS EAST. EXPECTING A RETURN TO CLEAR
OR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT TONIGHT,
BELIEVE SOME FOG IS POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY IN THE RIVER VALLEYS
AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. HAVE INCLUDED THIS AT
BOTH LBF AND VTN WITH HREF GUIDANCE HINTS AT POTENTIAL FOR
SEEING DEGRADED FLIGHT RULES. WENT FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE AND
INTRODUCE IFR AND LIFR CONDITIONS FOR LBF AND VTN RESPECTIVELY.
BELIEVE THIS MAY BE CLEANED UP WITH LATER FORECASTS BUT EVEN IF
THIS OCCURS, THE WINDOW FOR THESE CONDITIONS APPEARS BRIEF AND
ON THE ORDER OF A FEW HOURS. SKIES SHOULD QUICKLY CLEAR AFTER
DAYBREAK FRIDAY WITH A RETURN TO VFR EXPECTED.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...NMJ
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