673
FXUS63 KLBF 291125
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
625 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2 OF 5) OF SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
PANHANDLE. A MARGINAL RISK EXTENDS TO THE EAST ACROSS THE
WESTERN SANDHILLS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
- DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
- RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT WITH NEAR DAILY
CHANCES THROUGH SATURDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 326 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA EARLY THIS MORNING. A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED
THROUGH THE NORTHWEST SANDHILLS.
TODAY, THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA BY LATE MORNING. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OF STORMS
ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA UNTIL MID MORNING. AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY, DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE COOLER FROM UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S NORTH
TO MID 80S SOUTHWEST. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OR A FEW
STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN ZONES IN CLOSER
PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE FRONT, AND ALSO IN THE EASTERN
PANHANDLE WHERE BETTER EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW WILL AID IN
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLE AND NORTHEAST COLORADO
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM
SOUTHERN MANITOBA CANADA SOUTHWEST INTO EASTERN WYOMING WILL AID
IN STRENGTHENING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND STEEPENING H85-H7
LAPSE RATES NEAR 8C/KM ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AND NORTHEAST
COLORADO. 0-6KM SHEAR WILL ALSO BE ADEQUATE AT 30-40KT IN THIS
REGION. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SUPERCELLULAR ALONG
THE SURFACE FRONT WITH SOME UPSCALE GROWTH POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
INTO THE WESTERN SANDHILLS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS OR
CLUSTERS OF STORMS. CLEARING SKIES LATE TONIGHT WITH LOWS COOLER
FROM 55 TO AROUND 60.
MONDAY, SUNNY SKIES AND WEAK SUBSIDENCE AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN. HIGHS WILL SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL
NORMALS FROM 80 TO 85 DEGREES.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 326 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TUESDAY
AND PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY, AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE
WESTERN U.S. THIS WILL BRING A RETURN TO QUIETER AND DRIER
WEATHER FOR TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS
TUESDAY NIGHT.
NEAR DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. THE BETTER CHANCES AND EXPECTED COVERAGE OF
STORMS LOOK TO INCREASE FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT (INDEPENDENCE DAY) AS
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES MOVES
INTO THE REGION. SIMILAR CHANCES SATURDAY AS WELL AS THE UPPER
FLOW BECOMES ZONAL AND A SURFACE FRONT MAY STALL ACROSS THE
REGION,ENHANCING STORM CHANCES.
IN ADDITION, TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO RISE BACK INTO THE LOW 90S
WEDNESDAY WITH SOME MID 90S BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGHS SHOULD
FALL BACK INTO THE MID AND UPPER 80S BY SATURDAY.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 625 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS, EXCEPT WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR. THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT THE KLBF TERMINAL
MAINLY BETWEEN 03Z-09Z MONDAY, AND HAVE INCLUDED A PROB30 FOR -TSRA.
AT KVTN, NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP
SOUTH THIS MORNING, WITH WINDS NORTHEAST 10-15KT BEHIND THE
FRONT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP WEST OF
THE AREA THIS EVENING AND TRACK SOUTHEAST MAINLY ACROSS THE
WESTERN SANDHILLS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. A FEW STRONG STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROBERG
LONG TERM...ROBERG
AVIATION...ROBERG
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