268
FXUS63 KLBF 150548
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1248 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING, MAINLY
WEST OF AINSWORTH THROUGH HAYES CENTER, WITH A FEW SEVERE
STORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
- DRY CONDITIONS MONDAY BEFORE AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT BRINGS A
RETURN OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
- BELOW AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S
WEDNESDAY AND THE 70S THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. SHOWERS
LIKELY WEDNESDAY, WITH SOME THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING LATE WEEK
.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 311 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
MAINLY EAST OF HWY 83 INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. AN UPPER TROUGH
AXIS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA WILL LIFT INTO EASTERN
SOUTH DAKOTA AND WESTERN IOWA BY 12Z SUNDAY. SKIES WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT. LOWS COOLER FROM THE LOWS 50S WEST TO
MID AND UPPER 50S EAST.
MONDAY, UPPER HEIGHT RISES AS THE UPPER TROUGH LIFTS INTO NORTH
DAKOTA AND MINNESOTA. ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS IDAHO
AND MONTANA INTO WESTERN WYOMING. A SUNNY SKY RETURNS WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S.
MONDAY NIGHT, ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION INITIATING OFF
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WYOMING LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON COULD REACH THE
WESTERN SANDHILLS MONDAY EVENING.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 311 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AHEAD OF THIS FRONT, A MODESTLY SHEARED AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE AREA MAY
REMAIN CAPPED, AND LIMIT STORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCES INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES IN, THOUGH
STORMS SHOULD BECOME ELEVATED. SOME THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING,
WITH A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. SOME HAIL THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP. LIKELY
POPS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT.
THE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY WITH LIKELY
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND COOLER, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S. THE UPPER TROUGH IS LIKELY TO PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, BEFORE LIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS IOWA AND
MINNESOTA INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO HIGHS IN THE 70S AND AT LEAST LOW CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY RETURN THROUGH TONIGHT AS
CEILINGS RISE AND WINDS REMAIN GENERALLY UNDER 10 KNOTS. SOME
STRONGER AFTERNOON WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN
NEBRASKA, BUT GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR BELOW 20 KNOTS.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROBERG
LONG TERM...ROBERG
AVIATION...KULIK
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