523
FXUS63 KLBF 091145
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
645 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- FOG THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S
- ISOLATED CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING
- COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 341 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE THE FOG
POTENTIAL. EXPECT FOG TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA, WITH GENERALLY PATCHY FOG EXPECTED IN LOW LYING AREAS AND
ALONG THE RIVER VALLEY. THE GREATER FOG COVERAGE WILL BE ACROSS FAR
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA CLOSER TO THE BORDER WHERE FOG THE COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO BE GREATER. FOG IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BY MID MORNING,
HOWEVER SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT MOISTURE INTO
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND THERE MAY BE A LINGERING STRATUS DECK THAT
HOLDS ON TIL CLOSER TO NOON. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR HOW QUICKLY THE
STRATUS MOVES OUT OF THE AREA AS THIS COULD POTENTIALLY IMPACT
TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA IF STRATUS LINGERS PAST NOON
AND COULD POTENTIALLY SEE TEMPERATURES NOT REACHING THE UPPER 70S TO
LOW 80S. AT THE MOMENT MODELS HAVE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST AND SHOULD HELP TO MOVE STRATUS EASTWARD AND OUT OF
THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE MORNING.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 341 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE FRIDAY KEEPING MILD
TEMPERATURES IN PLACE WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S, WHICH IS 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A DISTURBANCE MOVES IN LATE FRIDAY ALONG WITH
A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION STARTING FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE ISOLATED AND QPF WILL REMAIN
LOW. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S. A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY IN THE LOW 60S.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 636 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
LOW CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND WESTERN NEBRASKA
THIS MORNING WITH LIFR CONDITIONS OR LOWER POSSIBLE, INCLUDING
KLBF TERMINAL. THERE WILL ALSO BE AREAS OF DENSE FOG POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE,
INCLUDING KIML TERMINAL. FOG AND LOW CIGS SHOULD LIFT BY EARLY
AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST
AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING FOR
NEZ022-056>058-069-070.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...GOMEZ
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