875
FXUS63 KLBF 092327
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
627 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND INTO
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA FRIDAY MORNING.
- OUTSIDE OF SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT, DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE MOST PART THOUGH SATURDAY.
- MILD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY 5
TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
- A SLIGHT COOLDOWN ALONG WITH THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION
POTENTIAL ARRIVES ON SUNDAY BEFORE TEMPERATURES RETURN TO NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMALS WITH ISOLATED SHOWER POTENTIAL THROUGH MID-
WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL ALLOW FOR SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD
ACROSS THE CENTRAL US THROUGH FRIDAY KEEPING CONDITIONS DRY FOR THE
MOST PART THROUGH THIS TIMEFRAME. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ON FRIDAY
NIGHT AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH BRINGS SOME ISOLATED RAIN SHOWER TO
THE REGION. LIMITED INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE CONDUCIVE TO
THUNDERSTORMS AND QPF IS LOW AT THIS TIME, AMOUNTING TO LESS
THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH.
FOR TONIGHT...INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND INTO
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA COMBINED WITH LIGHT WINDS AND
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FOG
DEVELOPMENT ONCE AGAIN. AT THIS TIME, ANTICIPATING FOG TO REMAIN
PATCHY WITH VISIBILITIES REMAINING ABOVE 3 MILES. HOWEVER, THE
LATEST PROBABILITIES SUGGEST SEEING LESS THAN 3 MILES IS NEAR 50
PERCENT AT TIMES. THEREFORE, WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME
VISIBILITIES LOWER THAN 3 MILES POTENTIALLY AS LOW AS 1 MILE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS IF
TRAVELING FRIDAY MORNING. DUE TO THE LIGHT AND RELATIVELY PATCHY
NATURE, FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE BY MID MORNING GIVING WAY TO A MOSTLY
CLEAR FORECAST.
WARM AIR ADVECTION INTO THE REGION WILL PUSH WARMER 850 MB
TEMPERATURES IN THE 15 TO 22 C RANGE INTO CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THIS
WARMER AIRMASS WILL BRING MILD SURFACE HIGHS TO THE AREA THROUGH AT
LEAST THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL EASILY RISE INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 70S WITH OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY NIGHT
ONLY DROPPING INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EVENTUALLY SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST ON SATURDAY
ALLOWING FOR A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN TO RETURN BEGINNING ON
SATURDAY NIGHT. NEAR DAILY RAIN SHOWERS RETURN ON SATURDAY NIGHT
LASTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHILE PREVIOUS FORECASTS SUGGESTED A
BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN ON TUESDAY, THE LATEST RUNS HAVE BACKED OFF ON
THIS SOLUTION AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN LIMITED QPF ACROSS
THE REGION.
CONTINUED WARM AIR ADVECTION INTO THE REGION WILL KEEP HIGHS ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WELL ABOVE NORMALS WITH MOST LOCATIONS RISING
INTO THE 70S TO LOW 80S ON SATURDAY AND INTO THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S
ON SUNDAY.
FOR TEMPERATURES BEYOND SUNDAY, A WEAK COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY NIGHT
WILL DROP HIGHS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY TO BELOW NORMAL IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOW 60S. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NEAR TO SLIGHT ABOVE
NORMALS (LOW 70S) BY MID-WEEK. FOR LOWS, TEMPERATURES WILL START OFF
IN THE LOW 50S TO LOW 60S ON SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE FALLING INTO THE
LOW 30S (NORTHWEST) TO LOW 40S (SOUTH AND EAST) ON SUNDAY NIGHT. AT
THIS TIME NO FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES ARE IN PLACE, BUT THIS WILL BE
SOMETHING WE WILL BE MONITORING IN THE COMING DAYS. LOWS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD ONLY FALL INTO THE 40S, WHICH IS A
FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMALS.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
PATCHY FOG DEVELOP REMAINS POSSIBLE AT THE KLBF TERMINAL
TONIGHT, MAINLY FROM 04Z UNTIL 08Z WITH A VISIBILITY RESTRICTION
ONLY DOWN TO 4SM. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE
KLBF AND KVTN TERMINALS THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE TONIGHT, BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEAST TO AROUND 10KT
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SKIES EXPECTED TO REMAIN SKC TONIGHT, THEN
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDINESS TO BKN200 AFTER 18Z FRIDAY.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...KULIK
LONG TERM...KULIK
AVIATION...ROBERG
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