995
FXUS63 KLBF 110927
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
427 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE DAY
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SUNDAY
- COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 425 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
LINGERING SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN SANDHILLS INTO NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. WAA STRENGTHENS AND TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE MID 70S TO
LOW 80S. LIGHT SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
AS THE LLJ STRENGTHENS, HOWEVER IT SHOULD MAINLY BE LIGHT SHOWERS
WITH MINIMAL QPF EXPECTED.
A COLD FRONT WILL START TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY LATE SUNDAY
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA WILL WARM INTO THE 70S TO LOW 80S, WHILE
AREAS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, GENERALLY NORTHWEST SANDHILLS WILL ONLY
WARM INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH AND GUST UP TO 35 MPH IN WESTERN
NEBRASKA. THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED TO POTENTIALLY
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA AND WILL
HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR IF HEADLINES ARE NEEDED, BUT AT THIS
TIME RFW CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED WITH MIN RH WILL BE AROUND 17 TO
25 PERCENT ACROSS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 204. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL
NEED FOR FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES ON SUNDAY AS TEMPERATURES DIP INTO
THE LOW 30S FOR SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLDER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 425 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE ON SUNDAY TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
COOL FOR MONDAY, THEN A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
LATE MONDAY WITH THE NEXT GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
50S. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO DEVELOP MID-WEEK AND HIGHS
WILL MODERATE BACK INTO THE 70S TO END THE WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1206 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA,
AND SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA, THOUGH
THESE SHOULD LEAD TO LIMITED IMPACTS TO AVIATION. HAVE INCLUDED
A TEMPO FROM 07Z-09Z AT KLBF FOR -SHRA.
WINDS OVERNIGHT REMAIN FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO 15KTS. WINDS THEN
STRENGTHEN FROM THE SOUTH ON SATURDAY, WITH GUSTS TO 25KTS AT
KLBF AND 30KTS AT KVTN.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...ROBERG
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