883
FXUS63 KLBF 111724
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1224 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE DAY
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SUNDAY
- COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 425 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
LINGERING SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN SANDHILLS INTO NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. WAA STRENGTHENS AND TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE MID 70S TO
LOW 80S. LIGHT SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
AS THE LLJ STRENGTHENS, HOWEVER IT SHOULD MAINLY BE LIGHT SHOWERS
WITH MINIMAL QPF EXPECTED.
A COLD FRONT WILL START TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY LATE SUNDAY
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA WILL WARM INTO THE 70S TO LOW 80S, WHILE
AREAS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, GENERALLY NORTHWEST SANDHILLS WILL ONLY
WARM INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH AND GUST UP TO 35 MPH IN WESTERN
NEBRASKA. THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED TO POTENTIALLY
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA AND WILL
HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR IF HEADLINES ARE NEEDED, BUT AT THIS
TIME RFW CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED WITH MIN RH WILL BE AROUND 17 TO
25 PERCENT ACROSS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 204. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL
NEED FOR FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES ON SUNDAY AS TEMPERATURES DIP INTO
THE LOW 30S FOR SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLDER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 425 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE ON SUNDAY TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
COOL FOR MONDAY, THEN A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
LATE MONDAY WITH THE NEXT GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
50S. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO DEVELOP MID-WEEK AND HIGHS
WILL MODERATE BACK INTO THE 70S TO END THE WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TOMORROW
AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. WINDS
REMAIN GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH
GUSTS OF 25 TO 35KTS EXPECTED. WINDS REMAIN GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT FOR TERMINALS NEAR AND EAST OF HWY 83. A STRONG
SOUTHERLY LLJ WILL ALSO LEAD TO LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR CONCERNS
FOR TERMINALS NEAR AND EAST OF HWY 83 THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
BY TOMORROW MORNING, A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA AND
LEAD TO A WIND SHIFT FROM SOUTH TO NORTHWEST. NORTHWEST WINDS
THEN STRENGTHEN TOMORROW AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35KTS
EXPECTED AGAIN.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...BROWN
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