979
FXUS63 KLBF 290921
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
421 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD AGAIN TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 20S. LOWER 20S POSSIBLE
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA IN LOWER SPOTS.
- SOME INCREASE IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THURSDAY DUE TO A
COMBINATION OF GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY.
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK AND
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE COOLER SIDE BUT EXPECTED
MODERATE CONSIDERABLY BY SUNDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 350 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM IS LOCATED ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH REGION THIS
MORNING. MEANWHILE STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS PROGRESSING
EASTWARD OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. THE HIGH WILL WEAKEN
SOME AS THE AXIS BECOMES CENTERED ACROSS THE REGION BY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT GUSTY THROUGH THIS
MORNING FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 183, BUT DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE AXIS ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA. FULL SUNSHINE THIS
MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO SOME INCREASE IN HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS THIS
AFTERNOON...AS CIRRUS ROUNDS THE TOP OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS ACROSS
THE ROCKIES.
THE UPPER RIDGE TRANSLATES EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AHEAD OF
SHORTWAVE DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN PLAINS. LIGHT
WINDS, PARTIALLY TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL GIVE
WAY TO GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. TRENDED TOWARD THE COLDER GUIDANCE
GIVEN THE ABOVE REASONING. FORECASTING 23 DEGREES FOR NORTH
PLATTE, AND WOULD BE THE COLDEST SO FAR THIS SEASON (GRANTED WE
DON'T DROP THIS MORNING JUST PRIOR TO SUNRISE).
AS THE SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE NORTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA. CAA WILL LAG SOME BEHIND THE WIND
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL ALLOW HIGHS TO REACH THE MID
TO UPPER 50S...AND AS HUMIDITY DROPS INTO THE 25-35% RANGE
EXPECT SOME INCREASE IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 350 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT LOOKS TO DOMINATE AS WE HEAD INTO FRIDAY AND
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. A MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS WILL DIVE
SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...ON THE BACKSIDE OF
SOUTHEASTWARD SHORTWAVE DROPPING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI[I VALLEY
REGION. HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE OUT OF THE UPPER 40S ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ON BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE COLDER AIR
MOVES IN. BY SUNDAY UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL MOVE EASTWARD FROM THE
ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS. TEMPERATURES QUICKLY WILL QUICKLY
MODERATE WITH HIGHS BACK INTO THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS COULD BACK
A FEW DEGREES MONDAY INTO THE UPPER 50S WITH LOWER 60S TUESDAY. DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS ENTIRE PERIOD.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1226 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION WITH CLEAR TO MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE ONLY
MAJOR AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE A SLIGHT WIND SHIFT ACROSS NORTHERN
NEBRASKA FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT TO THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST BY LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...KULIK
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page