855
FXUS63 KLBF 301713
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1213 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY DUE TO A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY.
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A COOLER
CANADIAN AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A
QUICK WARM UP SUNDAY AND THEN CONTINUED MILD NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 344 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AHEAD
OF SHORTWAVE DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN PLAINS. A
SHARPENING LEEWARD TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS EARLY THIS
MORNING...WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL
BECOME WELL MIXED AS WARMER AIR ALOFT MIXES TO THE SURFACE...WITH
HIGHS REACHING THE MID AND UPPER 50S. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS
WINDS FREQUENTLY GUST TO AROUND 30 MPH AND HUMIDITY VALUES DROP INTO
THE 25-35% RANGE.
SKIES WILL BE CLEAR EARLY THIS EVENING WITH SOME INCREASE IN HIGH-
LEVEL CLOUDINESS TONIGHT. THIS WILL LIKELY HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON
TEMPERATURES AS IT SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED TO BROKEN AT BEST. WENT
WITH THE COLDER GUIDANCE WITH A FAVORABLE VERY LIGHT WEST TO
NORTHWEST WIND ALLOWING FOR GOOD COOLING.
THE ABOVE MENTIONED SHORTWAVE (ALBERTA CLIPPER) WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO MINNESOTA ON FRIDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN
CONSIDERABLY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS IT PROGRESSES SOUTHEASTWARD. A
MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS WILL SETTLE SOUTH INTO THE AREA FRIDAY.
APPEARS THERE WILL BE CAA STRATOCUMULUS DIVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, LIKELY
BRINING A MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY. A SEPARATE AREA OF HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL
SPREAD EASTWARD OFF THE ROCKIES ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. AS
MENTIONED, WITH THE CANADIAN AIRMASS MOVING IN IT WILL BE QUITE
CHILLY. HIGHS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEBRASKA WILL STRUGGLE
INTO THE MID 40S DUE TO A COMBINATION OF CAA AND INCREASINGLY CLOUDY
SKIES.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 344 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
A MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE SATURDAY...ON THE
BACKSIDE OF SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY REGION. HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE OUT OF THE MID 40S ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL MOVE EASTWARD FROM THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS.
TEMPERATURES QUICKLY WILL QUICKLY MODERATE WITH HIGHS BACK INTO THE
60S TO MID 70S (WARMEST WESTERN NEBRASKA). CONDITIONS ARE LOOKING
MORE FAVORABLE FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP
SUNDAY AND WILL BE MONITORED. EARLY NEXT WEEK CONTINUES TO LOOK DRY
AND MILD...AS SUBTLE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TOMORROW
AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. WINDS
REMAIN GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF 20
TO 30KTS EXPECTED. WINDS THEN WEAKEN TONIGHT.
STRATUS WILL OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
TOMORROW AFTERNOON, THOUGH CIGS SHOULD REMAIN LOW-END VFR. WINDS
WILL ALSO BE GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON,
PRIMARILY NORTH OF I-80.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...BROWN
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