782
FXUS63 KLBF 101110
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
510 AM CST MON NOV 10 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK
TO ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
- A RETURN TO FIRE CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY AS DRY
CONDITIONS PERSIST AND AFTERNOON RH VALUES DROP TO NEAR 20
PERCENT.
- THE NEXT SYSTEM TO BRING PRECIPITATION ARRIVES OVER THE
WEEKEND, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION TYPE AND TRACK
STILL REMAINS UNCERTAIN.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 202 AM CST MON NOV 10 2025
QUIET AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY AS STRONG UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN US AND SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. TODAY WILL REMAIN
ON THE COOLER END OF GUIDANCE, ALTHOUGH IT WILL NOT BE AS COLD
AS YESTERDAY AS THE COLDEST AIR PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST AND
WARMER AIR SLOWLY NUDGES INTO THE WEST. HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE
FROM THE LOW 40S IN THE EAST TO THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S IN THE
WEST. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RISE NEARLY 15 DEGREES OR MORE FROM
THE PREVIOUS NIGHT AS THAT WARMER AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION.
EXPECT LOWS TO RETURN TO THE 30S BY TONIGHT.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 202 AM CST MON NOV 10 2025
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE
WESTERN US, TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY RISE BACK ABOVE NORMALS.
WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S RETURNS BY
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE A SURGE OF WARM AIR ADVECTION WITH
850 MB TEMPERATURES IN THE 15 TO 18 C RANGE PUSHES INTO THE
REGION FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR MOST
LOCATIONS TO SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 70S ON BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE 30S THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH LOWS ONLY DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S ON
THURSDAY NIGHT.
THIS PERIOD OF DRIER CONDITIONS AND A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BRING A RETURN TO FIRE CONCERNS. AT THIS
TIME, AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 25 PERCENT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, BUT THE SLIGHT WARMER TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL
ALSO BRING SOME DRIER AIR TO THE REGION. THEREFORE, THURSDAY
COULD SEE A RETURN TO ELEVATED CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY WEST OF
US-83.
THE NEXT PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL ARRIVES BY SATURDAY, ALTHOUGH,
THE CONFIDENCE IN TRACK AND PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL
UNCERTAIN. HAVE MAINTAINED THE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS (15 TO 25
PERCENT) FOR THE MOST PART, BUT DID INTRODUCE SOME LOW END
CHANCE POPS (UP TO 30 PERCENT) FOR SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. AT THIS
TIME, PRECIPITATION TYPE APPEARS TO BE MOSTLY RAIN, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME SNOW OR
RAIN/SNOW MIX MAY BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN/NORTHWEST
FRINGE OF THE SYSTEM AS SOME COLDER AIR PUSHES IN BEHIND. THIS
WILL LIKELY CHANGE IN THE UPCOMING DAYS, SO STAY TUNED TO THE
LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 509 AM CST MON NOV 10 2025
DRY AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS AROUND ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOME INCREASING CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE
AFTER 05Z TUESDAY, BUT CEILINGS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 15 KFT. THE ONLY
OTHER AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE THE WINDS GRADUALLY CHANGING FROM THE
SOUTH TO THE WEST LATE AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...KULIK
LONG TERM...KULIK
AVIATION...KULIK
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