538
FXUS63 KLBF 202335
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
535 PM CST THU NOV 20 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN CHANCES TONIGHT, GREATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 80.
- FOG POTENTIAL TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
- ANOTHER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
- TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO 60S.
- COOL DOWN AFTER MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 40S
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 444 PM CST THU NOV 20 2025
THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE RAIN
POTENTIAL AND FOG DEVELOPMENT. AS FAR AS PRECIPITATION GOES, THE
GREATEST CONFIDENCE IN RAINFALL CONTINUES TO BE ACROSS SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA, GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80, WITH LESSER
CONFIDENCE GOING INTO THE SOUTHERN SANDHILLS. DO NOT EXPECT
PRECIPITATION TO SPREAD FURTHER NORTH THEN CENTRAL SANDHILLS. SOTS
INDICATES THAT THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ABNORMAL QPF VALUES WILL
STAY SOUTH IN KANSAS, WHICH IS MORE OF A SOUTHWARD TREND FROM
PREVIOUS FORECAST. AS FAR AS QPF VALUES NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT THAT WE COULD SEE
HALF AN INCH OR GREATER SOUTH OF I-80 WITH LESSER AMOUNTS THE
FURTHER NORTH YOU GO. THERE IS GENERALLY GOOD CONSENSUS WITH
THE PROBABILITY GREATER THAN 75 PERCENT OF SEEING AT LEAST A
0.10 ALONG THE I-80 CORRIDOR.
THE NEXT CONCERN WILL BE FOG DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND WINDS WILL INFLUENCE AN
ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE EDGE OF WHERE
THE PRECIP SHIELD DEVELOPS. THIS COULD INCLUDE THE I-80 CORRIDOR
INTO PORTIONS OF SANDHILLS EAST INTO CUSTER COUNTY. HEADLINES FOR
FOG MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 444 PM CST THU NOV 20 2025
FOR THIS WEEKEND, IT WILL BE MOSTLY DRY THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON WITH WAA ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY HELPING TO DRIVE
TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. THIS IS AROUND 15 TO 20
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. SUNDAY NIGHT A UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE AREA AND BRINGING
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURES WILL TURN
COOLER AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA TUESDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY
THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S WHICH IS NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
AS OF RIGHT NOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN LOW THROUGH
THANKSGIVING MORNING.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 534 PM CST THU NOV 20 2025
STRATUS IS OBSERVED ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA,
BRINGING WIDESPREAD MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS. SOME AREAS ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA WILL CONTINUE IN VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS, WITH LOWER CEILINGS MOVING IN AROUND MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT,
WIDESPREAD IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH LOW CEILINGS AND
PATCHY FOG ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION, AND RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THROUGHOUT MOST OF
THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, SO COULD SEE CONTINUED IFR TO MVFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA, WITH PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA RETURNING TO VFR BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...RICHIE
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