633
FXUS63 KLBF 220518
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1118 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
- A SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS
WILL BE A WARM SYSTEM WITH LIGHT RAIN EXPECTED.
- COOLER BUT MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THANKSGIVING WEEK
(THROUGH FRIDAY).
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 216 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND LAST THROUGH SATURDAY.
AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEASTWARD AND BE
CENTERED ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA BY SATURDAY EVENING. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AS DOWN-SLOPE NORTHWEST LOW-LEVEL
FLOW DEVELOPS. SOUNDING PROFILES SUGGEST WIND GUSTS IN THE 20-25 MPH
RANGE LOOK POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA FROM
EARLY TO MID-AFTEROON BEFORE DIMINISHING AS THE SURFACE HIGH
CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE AREA. OVERALL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE
LIMITED SATURDAY AS WINDS AND HUMIDITY WILL BOTH REMAIN IN CHECK.
AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST SUNDAY, SOUTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE SOMEWHAT. AGAIN HUMIDITY REMAINS IN CHECK WITH LOW FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS. HIGHS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL RETURN TO
ABOVE NORMAL, WITH HIGHS BOTH DAYS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.
THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL BE A SIMILAR
SYSTEM TO THE ONE LOCATED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. A CLOSED MID-
LEVEL CIRCULATION WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. WARM
AIR BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BE TRANSPORTED NORTHWARD
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. SO APPEARS TO BE AN ALL RAIN EVENT. AT THIS
TIME AMOUNTS LOOK LIGHT, WITH LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH
FORECASTED AT THIS TIME.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 216 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME
IT APPEARS NO TRAVEL DELAYS OR ISSUES ARE ANTICIPATED AS WE
HEAD TOWARD THE BUSIEST TRAVEL DAY OF THE YEAR (WEDNESDAY).
OVERALL MUCH OF THE WEEK LOOKS MAINLY DRY WITHIN THE NORTHWEST
FLOW PATTERN. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE A BIT BELOW AVERAGE
OVERALL. A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA TUESDAY WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING IN IT'S WAKE. NORTHWEST WINDS THEN
CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. BY FAR THOUGH THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGHS TUESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA TO THE UPPER 40S ACROSS SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA INTO THE PANHANDLE.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE DAY AND EVENING. HIGH
BASED CLOUD COVER PERSISTS OVER SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND PORTIONS OF
THE SANDHILLS, WITH NO IMPACTS EXPECTED TO CEILINGS. PATCHY FOG WILL
ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION TONIGHT, MAINLY
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA. HOWEVER, THIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
EAST OF THE KLBF AND KVTN TERMINALS. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE
WEST OVERNIGHT, BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY DURING THE DAY. GUSTY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA DURING THE
AFTERNOON, WITH WINDS SUBSIDING TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY THE
EVENING ACROSS THE REGION.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...RICHIE
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