909
FXUS63 KLBF 051737
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1137 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS AND MILD TEMPERATURES TODAY, WITH HIGHS FROM 40
TO AROUND 45.
- A SYSTEM CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY, WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR
LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA.
- AFTER A COLD DAY SUNDAY (HIGHS 20 TO 35 EAST, 35 TO 45 WEST),
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK (HIGHS IN
UPPER 40S TO 50S).
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 308 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
TODAY, AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO
THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
AREA FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING
COOLER AFTERNOON HIGHS FROM NEAR 40 ACROSS NORTHER NEBRASKA,
WHILE THE CENTRAL SANDHILLS AND SOUTH WESTS NEBRASKA REACH THE
LOW TO MID 40S. SKIES WILL RANGE FROM PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY.
GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT, AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM MONTANA INTO
WYOMING, WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING FROM SOUTHEAST
MONTANA INTO THE NORTHWEST NEBRASKA PANHANDLE TOWARD DAYBREAK.
SOUTH WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE NORTHWEST SANDHILLS
OVERNIGHT. LOWS FROM 15 TO 20.
SATURDAY, THE UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
DAKOTAS AND NEBRASKA, AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE
NORTHERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE INTO CENTRAL NEBRASKA BY LATE
AFTERNOON. THE BEST LIFT WILL REMAIN NORTH AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE LOW, ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.
THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH AN AREA OF WEAK ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND
LOWEST PRESSURE DEFICITS. WHILE THE BEST SUSTAINED LIFT WILL BE
ACROSS EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA/NORTHERN
IOWA, LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM A HALF INCH TO AROUND 1.5
INCHES ARE FORECAST ACROSS HOLT AND BOYD COUNTY. WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S, SOME MELTING ON ROADWAYS IS
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. ADDED 20-30 POPS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA DURING THE MORNING, WHERE A BRIEF PERIOD
(1-2 HOURS) OF LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE. ACROSS NORTHEASTERN
AREAS, LIKELY POPS AND LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM MID MORNING
TO LATE AFTERNOON (6-8 HOURS). MUCH MILDER HIGHS EXPECTED FROM
THE CENTRAL SANDHILLS AND SOUTHWEST WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOW 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH AT TIMES
ACROSS THE WESTERN SANDHILLS.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 308 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
LIGHT SNOW MAY LINGER ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST SATURDAY EVENING,
AS MUCH COLDER AIR DROPS SOUTH THROUGH WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LOWS FROM 8 TO 13 ABOVE NORTH CENTRAL TO MID
TEENS SOUTHWEST.
LIGHT SNOW IS ALSO POSSIBLE AGAIN SUNDAY ACROSS THE DAKOTAS, AND
MODELS SHOW WEAK SUPPORT FOR THIS AS FAR SOUTH AS NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. CURRENT FORECAST IS DRY, AND WILL FOLLOW MODEL TRENDS
FOR A POSSIBLE INCLUSION IN UPCOMING FORECASTS. HIGHS WILL
CONTRAST FROM ONLY NEAR 20 FAR NORTHEAST TO THE LOW 40S FAR
WESTERN COUNTIES.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN ESTABLISHED ALOFT THROUGH THURSDAY OF
NEXT WEEK. A DOWNSLOPE FLOW MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BRING
BOOST HIGHS BACK INTO THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S MONDAY, AND 50S TO
NEAR 60 TUESDAY. COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES AND A MORE UNSETTLED
PATTERN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
RAIN OR SNOW AND HIGHS MORE SEASONAL IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF FRIDAY FOR
AREA TERMINALS.
ATTENTION QUICKLY TURNS TO AN APPROACHING DISTURBANCE BRINGING
THE THREAT OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA TOMORROW.
PREVIOUS THOUGHTS OF MORE LOCALIZED COVERAGE ARE NOW TRENDING
TOWARDS MORE WIDESPREAD, THOUGH BRIEF, IMPACTS. HAVE INCLUDED A
MENTION AT LBF NOW FOR A FEW HOURS POST-SUNRISE SATURDAY.
GREATER IMPACTS APPEAR LIKELY AT VTN WITH IFR NOW IN THE
FORECAST. BELIEVE A TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO RAIN MAY CONTAIN
SOME ICE POTENTIAL, BUT WILL WITHHOLD THIS FROM THE FORECAST FOR
NOW UNTIL CONFIDENCE INCREASES. EXPECT A QUICK IMPROVEMENT BY
LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH AN END TO PRECIPITATION BUT LINGERING
LOW CLOUDS.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROBERG
LONG TERM...ROBERG
AVIATION...NMJ
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