297
FXUS63 KLBF 271009
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
409 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SOMEWHAT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SANDHILLS AND NORTHWEST NEBRASKA. WIND
WILL BE THE OVERALL LIMITING FACTOR.
- A COLD FRONT BRINGS MUCH COLDER WEATHER TO THE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY.
- LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2" COULD OCCUR ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AROUND THE BASSETT THROUGH
O'NEILL AREA.
- STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS COULD CREATE SOME
BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT THOUGH SUNDAY.
- A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED MOST OF NEXT
WEEK, ALONG WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 331 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2025
ONE MORE VERY MILD DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST OF A
NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY THAT WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS EASTERN
NEBRASKA NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. A MILD PACIFIC AIRMASS
WILL BE IN PLACE WEST OF THE BOUNDARY, WITH HIGHS AREA WIDE EXPECTED
TO REACH INTO THE 60S. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST NEBRASKA WHERE UPPER 50S ARE EXPECTED. SOMEWHAT ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONCERN DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
SANDHILLS AND NORTHWEST NEBRASKA. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN LIMITING
FACTOR, WITH GUSTS MOSTLY STAYING 20 MPH OR LESS.
CONDITIONS CHANGE QUICKLY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. A POTENT ALBERTA
CLIPPER WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL
DRIVE A STRONG COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD THOUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. STRONG
LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES,
WITH HIGHS SUNDAY ONLY IN THE MID TEENS AND 20S SUNDAY.
AS FAR AS WIND AND SNOW...THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF WIND AND SOME
LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION AS WELL. A ZONE OF MID-LEVEL FGEN WILL
BECOME ORIENTED SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST BEHIND THE SURGING FRONT THIS
EVENING. EXPECT TOP-DOWN SATURATION, WITH SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION
ACCUMULATION LOST TO EVAPORATION AT FIRST. EVENTUALLY LIGHT
RAIN SHOULD REACH THE SURFACE EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS
NORTHWEST NEBRASKA, WITH THIS QUICKLY CHANGING TO SNOW AS THE
BAND FOLLOWS THE FRONT SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
NIGHT. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF AT LEAST 1" LOOK LIKELY (PROBS
GREATER THAN 60%) MAINLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-80, PARTICULARLY
ACROSS THE SANDHILLS AND NORTHERN NEBRASKA. WHEN LOOKING AT 2"
OR MORE CHANCES DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY, EXPECT ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE HIGHWAY 20 CORRIDOR FROM AROUND BASSETT TO O'NEILL. HERE,
UP TO 2" ARE IN THE FORECAST BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS SUNDAY
MORNING. AS MENTIONED THERE WILL BE STRONG WINDS, DRIVEN BY
STRONG CAA AND SURFACE PRESSURE RISES. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THOUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. THIS WILL BLOW
AROUND WHAT SNOW FALLS, SO SOME AREAS COULD SEE REDUCED
VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW. MOST LIKELY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA ALONG HIGHWAY 20.
WIND CHILLS THE NEXT CONCERN. READING AROUND 5 BELOW ARE EXPECTED BY
LATE TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY
SUNDAY. EVEN COLDER SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH READING AS COLD AS 15 BELOW
ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA AND 5 BELOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. WIND
CHILLS MODERATE MONDAY AS WINDS DIMINISH. IT WILL REMAIN COLD,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
WHERE HIGHS WILL REMAIN THE THE 20S.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 331 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2025
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS TUESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY.
OVERALL IT APPEARS TO LOOKS TO BE A DRY WEEK AHEAD. A RETURN TO
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL BRING A SHOT OF COLDER AIR THURSDAY, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN/EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. TEMPERATURES
MODERATE AGAIN FRIDAY AS WE HEAD INTO THE NEW YEAR.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1125 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL INTO SATURDAY NIGHT
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. BY SATURDAY NIGHT,
LOW STRATUS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE THROUGH. ANY LOWERED
CATEGORIES SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF VTN AND LBF THROUGH THE END OF
THE VALID PERIOD, THOUGH FUTURE INCLUSION WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED.
WINDS REMAIN NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON, AT 10 TO
15KTS. WINDS THEN BECOME NORTH LATE IN THE PERIOD SATURDAY
NIGHT, STRENGTHENING WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30KTS POSSIBLE.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...BROWN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page