368
FXUS63 KLBF 281759
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1159 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THIS MORNING (MAINLY NORTHERN NEBRASKA)
AND VERY COLD WIND CHILLS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
- WIND GUSTS OF UP TO AROUND 55 MPH EXPECTED TODAY.
- TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO MODERATE MONDAY WITH A RETURN DRY AND
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 331 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
STRONG MID-LEVEL FGEN IS IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA EARLY THIS MORNING. SNOW HAS BEEN FALLING,
ESPECIALLY FROM AINSWORTH TO BROKEN BOW AND POINTS EAST. THERE HAS
BEEN LOCALIZED BANDING AND HEAVIER SNOWFALL RATES AT TIMES, BUT THE
LAST SEVERAL SCANS OF THE RADAR NOW BEGINNING TO SHOW AN OVERALL
WEAKENING TREND. FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH A GOOD 1" OR SNOW
EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST.
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 2" ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE HIGHWAY 20 CORRIDOR
FROM AROUND BASSETT THOUGH O'NEILL WHERE SOME OF THE HEAVIER BANDING
HAS OCCURRED. DID ISSUE A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT THROUGH SUNRISE
DUE TO THE EXPECTED LOCALIZED BLOWING OF SNOW AND QUICKLY FALLING
TEMPERATURES. THIS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED SURFACES THAT WERE WET TO
FREEZE QUICKLY CREATING SLICK CONDITIONS. THE MID-LEVEL FGEN QUICKLY
SHIFT EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA AFTER SUNRISE WITH THE SNOW
ENDING. THE NEXT CONCERN WILL BE THE STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW.
DOESN'T APPEAR THAT THE BLOWING SNOW WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN AS
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE MOST PART ARE FAIRLY LIGHT. THERE
WILL BE SOME SIFTING OF SNOW ACROSS ROADS THROUGH, ESPECIALLY THIS
MORNING. WIND GUSTS TODAY WILL BE QUITE STRONG, ESPECIALLY AS WE MIX
WITH SOME CLEARING LATER THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. BUFKIT
SOUNDING PROFILES SUGGEST A ROUGE 50 KT GUST (60 MPH) IS NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION, BUT MOST GUSTS LOOK TO STAY 55 MPH OR LESS AND DOESN'T
APPEAR ANY HIGH WIND HEADLINES ARE IN ORDER AT THIS TIME. WINDS
BEGIN TO SLOWLY DECREASE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY, BUT STILL ANTICIPATING
GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH, ESPECIALLY THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS
CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH MONDAY, AND SHOULD BE DOWN TO 10 MPH OR
LESS BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
AS FAR AS WIND CHILLS. THEY WILL BE VERY COLD WITH READINGS
AVERAGING AROUND 5 BELOW THROUGH THE DAY TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN
NEBRASKA. EVEN COLDER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING, WITH READING OF
13 TO 18 BELOW ZERO ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA AND 0 TO 10 BELOW
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. NOT QUITE COLD ENOUGH FOR AN
ADVISORY, BUT WILL CERTAINLY BE THE FOCUS, ESPECIALLY SINCE SUCH A
CHANGE FROM ALL THE VERY MILD WEATHER LATELY. WINDS BECOME LIGHT BY
MONDAY NIGHT WITH WIND CHILLS NO LONGER A MAJOR CONCERN.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 331 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AHEAD OF
UPSTREAM RIDGING ACROSS THE ROCKIES. APPEARS THIS RIDGE WILL TRY AND
SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY NEXT WEEKEND. OVERALL IT
LOOKS TO BE A DRY WEEK AHEAD WITH A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. WITH THE WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER AIR IN PLACE,
SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AT TIMES.
HOWEVER, NO CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1157 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
WRAP-AROUND MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL WORK INTO NORTHERN NEBRASKA
LATER THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL REMAIN SAFELY IN VFR RANGE.
OTHERWISE SKIES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR WITH
ONLY HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG,
PARTICULARLY THROUGH DAYBREAK MONDAY, WITH PEAK GUSTS AROUND 40
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...NMJ
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