271
FXUS63 KLBF 290930
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
330 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SANDHILLS AND
NORTHERN NEBRASKA THROUGH 8AM CST.
- DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE REST OF THIS WORK
WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
- SOME INCREASE IN FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD DEVELOP AND
WILL BE MONITORED.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
COLD AIR ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 8AM CST THIS MORNING.
AS OF EARLY THIS MORNING, TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL
THROUGH THE TEENS AND INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE SANDHILLS
AND NORTHERN NEBRASKA. WINDS CHILLS ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING 15 TO 20
DEGREES BELOW ZERO, AND WITH THE WINDS STAYING UP AND TEMPERATURES
COOLING A FEW MORE DEGREES, WILL LIKELY SEE SPOTS HIT AROUND 20
BELOW THROUGH SUNRISE. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA
THROUGH THE DAY, WINDS SHOULD STEADILY DECREASE AND BECOME LIGHT BY
TONIGHT. VERY DRY AIR ALOFT, WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER
TODAY, AND TRENDED HIGH TEMPERATURES UP JUST SLIGHTLY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT.
LIGHT WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL CREATE QUITE A RANGE IN LOWS, WITH
SOME OF THE BETTER MIXED HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SANDHILLS
REMAINING IN THE UPPER TEENS TO NEAR 20 FOR LOWS. MEANWHILE, RIVER
VALLEYS SUCH AS THE PLATTE, WILL SEE A GOOD DRAINAGE WIND WITH LOWS
AROUND 10 DEGREES IN SPOTS.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXPANDS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ROCKIES TUESDAY
WITH DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DOWNSTREAM ACROSS OUR REGION.
TEMPERATURES WARM TUESDAY WITH A DOWNSLOPE WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND
USHERING IN A PACIFIC AIRMASS. HIGHS WILL CLIMB TO ABOVE AVERAGE
ONCE AGAIN, WITH FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA LIKELY SEEING HIGHS REACHING
THE LOWER 50S. SOME LIMITED FIRE WEATHER CONCERN AS TEMPERATURES
RISE, BUT BOTH HUMIDITY AND WIND LOOK TO REMAIN WELL WITHIN CHECK,
SO NO MAJOR CONCERNS AT THIS POINT FOR TUESDAY.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
RIDGING ALOFT REMAINS ACROSS THE ROCKIES RIGHT THROUGH THE END OF
THE WORK WEEK. ENSEMBLE TRENDS AS WELL AS THE OPERATIONAL
ECMWF...TRY AND BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE WITH FLOW BECOMING MORE ZONAL
BY NEXT WEEKEND. OVERALL, THIS COMING WEEK LOOKS DRY AND VERY MILD
ONCE AGAIN. ALTHOUGH NOT CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST, SEVERAL MEMBERS
OF THE GEFS AND ENS HAVE HIGHS INTO THE 60S ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. THE AREA AS A WHOLE REMAINS DRY,
WITH ONLY SOME LIMITED LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OBSERVED ACROSS
NORTHERN NEBRASKA THIS PAST WEEKEND. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR AN
INCREASE IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS, ESPECIALLY WITH THE POTENTIAL
RIDGE BREAKDOWN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. AS IT STANDS NOW,
WEDNESDAY APPEARS TO HAVE THE LOWEST HUMIDITY THIS COMING WEEK, WITH
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING IN THE 20-25 MPH RANGE. AS MENTIONED
THOUGH, TEMPERATURES COULD BE WARMER AND HUMIDITY LOWER THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST ON OTHER DAYS, SO WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1110 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
LOW STRATUS CONTINUES TO EXIT NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA, WITH VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR ALL TERMINALS BY SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS PERSIST THROUGH SUNRISE, WITH GUSTS OF 20
TO 30KTS EXPECTED. WINDS GRADUALLY WEAKEN INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON,
WITH WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15KTS EXPECTED.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CST /7 AM MST/ THIS MORNING
FOR NEZ004>010-023>029-035>037-094.
SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...BROWN
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