891
FXUS63 KLBF 291737
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1137 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SANDHILLS AND
NORTHERN NEBRASKA THROUGH 8AM CST.
- DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE REST OF THIS WORK
WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
- SOME INCREASE IN FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD DEVELOP AND
WILL BE MONITORED.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
COLD AIR ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 8AM CST THIS MORNING.
AS OF EARLY THIS MORNING, TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL
THROUGH THE TEENS AND INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE SANDHILLS
AND NORTHERN NEBRASKA. WINDS CHILLS ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING 15 TO 20
DEGREES BELOW ZERO, AND WITH THE WINDS STAYING UP AND TEMPERATURES
COOLING A FEW MORE DEGREES, WILL LIKELY SEE SPOTS HIT AROUND 20
BELOW THROUGH SUNRISE. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA
THROUGH THE DAY, WINDS SHOULD STEADILY DECREASE AND BECOME LIGHT BY
TONIGHT. VERY DRY AIR ALOFT, WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER
TODAY, AND TRENDED HIGH TEMPERATURES UP JUST SLIGHTLY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT.
LIGHT WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL CREATE QUITE A RANGE IN LOWS, WITH
SOME OF THE BETTER MIXED HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SANDHILLS
REMAINING IN THE UPPER TEENS TO NEAR 20 FOR LOWS. MEANWHILE, RIVER
VALLEYS SUCH AS THE PLATTE, WILL SEE A GOOD DRAINAGE WIND WITH LOWS
AROUND 10 DEGREES IN SPOTS.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXPANDS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ROCKIES TUESDAY
WITH DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DOWNSTREAM ACROSS OUR REGION.
TEMPERATURES WARM TUESDAY WITH A DOWNSLOPE WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND
USHERING IN A PACIFIC AIRMASS. HIGHS WILL CLIMB TO ABOVE AVERAGE
ONCE AGAIN, WITH FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA LIKELY SEEING HIGHS REACHING
THE LOWER 50S. SOME LIMITED FIRE WEATHER CONCERN AS TEMPERATURES
RISE, BUT BOTH HUMIDITY AND WIND LOOK TO REMAIN WELL WITHIN CHECK,
SO NO MAJOR CONCERNS AT THIS POINT FOR TUESDAY.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
RIDGING ALOFT REMAINS ACROSS THE ROCKIES RIGHT THROUGH THE END OF
THE WORK WEEK. ENSEMBLE TRENDS AS WELL AS THE OPERATIONAL
ECMWF...TRY AND BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE WITH FLOW BECOMING MORE ZONAL
BY NEXT WEEKEND. OVERALL, THIS COMING WEEK LOOKS DRY AND VERY MILD
ONCE AGAIN. ALTHOUGH NOT CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST, SEVERAL MEMBERS
OF THE GEFS AND ENS HAVE HIGHS INTO THE 60S ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. THE AREA AS A WHOLE REMAINS DRY,
WITH ONLY SOME LIMITED LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OBSERVED ACROSS
NORTHERN NEBRASKA THIS PAST WEEKEND. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR AN
INCREASE IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS, ESPECIALLY WITH THE POTENTIAL
RIDGE BREAKDOWN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. AS IT STANDS NOW,
WEDNESDAY APPEARS TO HAVE THE LOWEST HUMIDITY THIS COMING WEEK, WITH
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING IN THE 20-25 MPH RANGE. AS MENTIONED
THOUGH, TEMPERATURES COULD BE WARMER AND HUMIDITY LOWER THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST ON OTHER DAYS, SO WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
LLWS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NORTHERN
SANDHILLS, INCLUDING KVTN TERMINAL WITH WINDS AROUND 35 KTS OUT
OF THE NORTHWEST. SFC WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST NORTHWEST
TODAY AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS, THEN BECOME MOSTLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE
TONIGHT. WINDS WILL THEN BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST TOMORROW
MORNING AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...GOMEZ
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