795
FXUS63 KLBF 111139
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
539 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR NORMAL TODAY BEFORE GRADUALLY INCREASING
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- OUTSIDE OF SOME ISOLATED RAIN CHANCES TUESDAY NIGHT, DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.
- THE NEXT PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL ARRIVES THURSDAY NIGHT, ALTHOUGH
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW.
- A RETURN TO MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES BEGINS ON FRIDAY LASTING
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 343 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN US
TODAY ALLOWING FOR SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD ACROSS THE GREAT
PLAINS. THIS PATTERN WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WEEK AS WELL AS A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES. WITH 850 MB
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE 8 TO 12 C RANGE, SURFACE HIGHS WILL
EASILY BE ABLE TO CLIMB BACK ABOVE NORMALS INTO THE 50S AND LOW 60S
THROUGH TUESDAY.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 343 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SOME LOW END PRECIPITATION CHANCES
(LESS THAN 20 PERCENT) ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA ON TUESDAY NIGHT AS
A TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN OFF TO THE EAST OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT
LAKES REGION, BUT SOME WEAK FORCING TO THE SOUTHWEST COULD RESULT IN
SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS WYOMING, SOUTH DAKOTA, AND NEBRASKA.
WARMER TEMPERATURES IN THE EVENING WILL KEEP THE PRECIP TYPE AS ALL
RAIN. BY THE TIME COLDER AIR ARRIVES TUESDAY NIGHT, PRECIPITATION
SHOULD HAVE ENDED.
DRY CONDITIONS RETURN ON WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY,
HOWEVER, THE TUESDAY NIGHT DISTURBANCE WILL HAVE USHERED IN SOME
COOLER AIR TO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMALS,
BUT WILL BE ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER THAN THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK.
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WILL BRING THE NEXT POTENTIAL FOR
PRECIPITATION, ALTHOUGH IT IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED AT THIS TIME.
A UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
ON THURSDAY NIGHT ALLOWING FOR SOME ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP
MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND NORTHWEST NEBRASKA. AT THIS TIME,
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN SNOW DEVELOPMENT AS WELL AS
STRENGTH/PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY HIGH
THAT REGARDLESS ON PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL, THIS TROUGH WILL BRING A
RETURN TO MUCH COLDER AIR TO NEBRASKA. CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS 850 MB TEMPERATURES IN THE -12 TO -18 C RANGE BEHIND THE
DEPARTING TROUGH ON FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN
HIGHS RETURNING INTO THE 30S FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AND LOWS FRIDAY
NIGHT IN THE LOW TEENS. WHILE STILL A WAYS AWAY, THERE IS ALSO
INDICATION THAT WIND CHILL VALUES COULD DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 2 ON FRIDAY NIGHT. NOT ANTICIPATING COLD HEADLINES
AT THIS TIME, BUT THEY MAY BE NEEDED IF TEMPERATURES CONTINUE A
DOWNWARD TREND.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 538 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE ONLY
MAJOR CONCERN WILL BE SOME STRONGER WIND GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS
ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING AFTER
SUNSET.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...KULIK
LONG TERM...KULIK
AVIATION...KULIK
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