075
FXUS63 KLBF 122201
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
401 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ON TUESDAY
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TUESDAY, THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
- STRONG WINDS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 334 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE PRECIPITATION CHANCES
FOR TUESDAY AS A WEAK SW TROF MOVES INTO THE FORECAST AREA.
PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL FALL AS RAIN AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WELL ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60 FOR TUESDAY.
CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN SEEING ANY SIGNIFICANT QPF AMOUNTS WITH
MOST LOCATIONS THAT SEE RAINFALL LIKELY ONLY SEEING A TRACE AS
MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING WITH THIS SYSTEM.
THERE WILL ALSO BE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TUESDAY,
CONFINED TO MOSTLY SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN NEBRASKA WHERE MIN RH
VALUES WILL BE THE LOWEST AROUND 25 PERCENT.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 334 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER ON WEDNESDAY AFTER THE COLD FRONT
PASSAGE WITH THE "COOLEST" TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S. FOR THE WESTERN
SANDHILLS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA TEMPERATURES WILL STILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50
DEGREES. THERE WILL BE SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AGAIN
FOR TUESDAY, MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WHERE ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE IN COMBINATION WITH THE STRONG
WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL DROP DOWN FROM CANADA WITH THE LOW OVER THE
GREAT LAKES REGION TIGHTENING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS OUR
FORECAST AREA WITH STRONG WIND GUST OF 45 MPH OR HIGHER
EXPECTED BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO
MONITOR BOTH DAYS AS WE APPROACH AS THERE MAY BE A NEED FOR
HEADLINES IF WINDS CONTINUE TO TREND UP AND FORECASTER CONFIDENCE
IN WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 45 MPH CONTINUES TO INCREASE.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1135 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TOMORROW
AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.
NORTHWESTERLY LLWS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT FOR ALL AREA
TERMINALS, PERSISTING THROUGH SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. BY EARLY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON, SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND LOWERING CIGS
WILL OVERSPREAD NORTHERN NEBRASKA, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN MVFR
INCLUSION FOR VTN IS LOW FOR NOW.
WINDS REMAIN WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON, AT 10 TO 15KTS. WINDS THEN
BECOME WEST-NORTHWESTERLY TONIGHT, AND STRENGTHEN TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. GUSTS OF 25 TO 35KTS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THE
NORTHWEST TOMORROW AFTERNOON FOR ALL TERMINALS.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...BROWN
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