729
FXUS63 KLBF 012314
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
514 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCE OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
- TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH MID TO LATE WEEK, WARMEST
DAY WILL BE THURSDAY
- ANOTHER CHANCE OF SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION LATE
WEEK
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 338 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE TEMPERATURES
AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES. FOR TEMPERATURE TOMORROW, KEPT
COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND WARMER
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA.
AS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES MONDAY, CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN
PRECIPITATION OCCURRING. MODELS CONTINUE TO DECREASE POP
CHANCES FOR MONDAY AS WEAK SW MOVES. EXPECT ONLY ISOLATED
POCKETS OF VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION DURING THE DAY MONDAY. AS
MOISTURE FLOW INCREASES MONDAY EVENING SHOULD SEE BETTER
SATURATION AND AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST SANDHILLS LATE MONDAY EVENING, IN THE FORM OF RAIN.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 338 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
FOR TUESDAY EARLY MORNING HOURS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR
DRIZZLE TO EVEN FREEZING DRIZZLE. SOUNDINGS ARE SUPPORTIVE OF A VERY
SMALL, BRIEF WINDOW OF FREEZING DRIZZLE GENERALLY FROM 3AM TO 6AM,
AND COULD ALSO SEE PATCHY FOG. GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN FREEZING DRIZZLE, WITH BETTER
CONFIDENCE IN THE PATCHY FOG POTENTIAL, BUT GIVEN THE SOUNDINGS
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA CAN NOT RULE IT OUT. AFTER
SUNRISE THE THREAT FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND PATCHY FOG DIMINISHES
AND SFC TEMPS WARM. LITTLE TO NO ICE ACCRETION. ACROSS THE REST
OF THE SANDHILLS MOSTLY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH A POTENTIAL FOR A
PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE SANDHILLS IN THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS, HOWEVER LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY INTO THE
OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT AND NATURE AND NOT EXPECTING
ANY SIGNIFICANT QPF AMOUNTS, WITH MOST LOCATIONS LIKELY ONLY
SEEING A FEW HUNDREDTHS, WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS UP TO A TENTH
OF AN INCH.
WEAK RIDGING BRIEFLY RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AND WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES WARM BACK INTO THE 60S FOR WEDNESDAY AND INTO THE 70S
FOR THURSDAY.
THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURNS TO END THE WEEK. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW DEEPENS AND PUSHES EAST INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. EXPECT
A BETTER CHANCE FOR MORE SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IF
THE CURRENT TRACK IN THE SYSTEM CONTINUES. AT THIS TIME THE GREATEST
POPS WILL BE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY, THUS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING AND SHOULD SEE PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF
ALL RAIN. WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SYSTEM FOR ANY
SHIFTS IN THE TRACK AS IT APPROACHES.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 515 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
LOW STRATUS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND WEST THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT, IMPACTING TERMINALS ALONG AND EAST OF HWY 83 AND SOUTH
OF HWY 20 THROUGH LATE TOMORROW MORNING. THIS STRATUS WILL LEAD
TO MVFR CIGS BEFORE EXITING THE AREA TO THE EAST TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.
WINDS REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT, AT 5 TO 10KTS. WINDS THEN
STRENGTHEN TOMORROW AFTERNOON, WITH SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS OF 20
TO 25KTS FOR ALL AREA TERMINALS.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...BROWN
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