509
FXUS63 KLBF 020529
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1129 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCE OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
- TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH MID TO LATE WEEK, WARMEST
DAY WILL BE THURSDAY
- ANOTHER CHANCE OF SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION LATE
WEEK
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 338 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE TEMPERATURES
AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES. FOR TEMPERATURE TOMORROW, KEPT
COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND WARMER
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA.
AS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES MONDAY, CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN
PRECIPITATION OCCURRING. MODELS CONTINUE TO DECREASE POP
CHANCES FOR MONDAY AS WEAK SW MOVES. EXPECT ONLY ISOLATED
POCKETS OF VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION DURING THE DAY MONDAY. AS
MOISTURE FLOW INCREASES MONDAY EVENING SHOULD SEE BETTER
SATURATION AND AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST SANDHILLS LATE MONDAY EVENING, IN THE FORM OF RAIN.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 338 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
FOR TUESDAY EARLY MORNING HOURS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR
DRIZZLE TO EVEN FREEZING DRIZZLE. SOUNDINGS ARE SUPPORTIVE OF A VERY
SMALL, BRIEF WINDOW OF FREEZING DRIZZLE GENERALLY FROM 3AM TO 6AM,
AND COULD ALSO SEE PATCHY FOG. GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN FREEZING DRIZZLE, WITH BETTER
CONFIDENCE IN THE PATCHY FOG POTENTIAL, BUT GIVEN THE SOUNDINGS
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA CAN NOT RULE IT OUT. AFTER
SUNRISE THE THREAT FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND PATCHY FOG DIMINISHES
AND SFC TEMPS WARM. LITTLE TO NO ICE ACCRETION. ACROSS THE REST
OF THE SANDHILLS MOSTLY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH A POTENTIAL FOR A
PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE SANDHILLS IN THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS, HOWEVER LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY INTO THE
OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT AND NATURE AND NOT EXPECTING
ANY SIGNIFICANT QPF AMOUNTS, WITH MOST LOCATIONS LIKELY ONLY
SEEING A FEW HUNDREDTHS, WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS UP TO A TENTH
OF AN INCH.
WEAK RIDGING BRIEFLY RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AND WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES WARM BACK INTO THE 60S FOR WEDNESDAY AND INTO THE 70S
FOR THURSDAY.
THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURNS TO END THE WEEK. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW DEEPENS AND PUSHES EAST INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. EXPECT
A BETTER CHANCE FOR MORE SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IF
THE CURRENT TRACK IN THE SYSTEM CONTINUES. AT THIS TIME THE GREATEST
POPS WILL BE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY, THUS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING AND SHOULD SEE PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF
ALL RAIN. WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SYSTEM FOR ANY
SHIFTS IN THE TRACK AS IT APPROACHES.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
SOME LOWER CLOUDS OR LIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA TONIGHT. HAVE LOWERED CEILINGS DOWN TO 1500 FEET
AT KLBF TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS, BUT HAVE HELD OFF ON ANY FOG MENTION AT
THIS TIME. CEILINGS IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH CEILINGS ABOVE 10 KFT
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. BOTH TERMINALS COULD SEE SOME STRONGER SOUTH
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE NEXT SYSTEM
BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. EXPECT GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS AT
TIMES. OTHERWISE, PRECIPITATION SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 06Z
TUESDAY.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GOMEZ
LONG TERM...GOMEZ
AVIATION...KULIK
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