219
FXUS63 KLBF 311755
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1255 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WEST WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN SANDHILLS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BRING NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.
- THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT AS A
DISTURBANCE CROSSES THE REGION.
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH AMPLE HUMIDITY AND
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT, WILL BRING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. LATER FORECASTS WILL
DETERMINE ANY POTENTIAL FOR STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 114 AM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
TODAY, LINGERING SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST IN THE
MORNING AS THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS LIFTS INTO EASTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL ADVANCE EAST TO NEAR SPRINGVIEW
THROUGH BROKEN BOW BY LATE AFTERNOON BRINGING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
AND MUCH LESS HUMID CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY WINDS 10
TO 20 MPH BEHIND THE TROUGH, WITH DEWPOINTS FALLING TO 35 TO THE
LOW 40S ACROSS THE WEST. WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE WESTERN SANDHILLS AND HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT, NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
TONIGHT, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
AND PUSH A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO THE NORTHWEST SANDHILLS. LOWS FROM
45 TO 55.
MONDAY, SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS WYOMING AND
COLORADO. A LIGHT NORTHEAST WIND WILL BECOME EASTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON AT 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE WEST. HIGHS FROM THE UPPER
70 TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL INCREASE, WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WESTERN NE
PANHANDLE AND NORTHEAST CO, TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN SANDHILLS
AND SOUTHWEST NE LATE AFTERNOON. MONDAY NIGHT, A CLUSTER OF
STORMS, POSSIBLY AN MCS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT, SUPPORTED BY 1000-500MB THICKNESS
DIFFLUENCE. PWATS IMPROVE TO NEAR 1 INCH.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 114 AM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
TUESDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE RATHER UNSETTLED. PLENTY
OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE WITH DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER AND MID 60S FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY WORK IT'S WAY EASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES TO NEAR THE WINNIPEG AREA BY THURSDAY AS IT FILLS. THIS WILL
KEEP OUR AREA IN A SOUTHWEST FLOW REGIME BETWEEN THE UPPER LOW TO
THE NORTH AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
SOUTHEAST. SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL BE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
FLOW ALOFT, AND SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LIKELY AT TIMES. FLOW ALOFT
WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRONGER STORMS, BUT STILL TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE EXACT TIMING AND LOCATION. OTHERWISE, QUITE WARM
THROUGH THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL AVERAGE MOSTLY IN THE LOWER 80S RIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS IS ABOUT 2 TO 4 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1255 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AS SKIES WILL
REMAIN CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR. SOME STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH WESTERLY GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS, HOWEVER,
THEY WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET, REMAINING BELOW 10 KNOTS
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROBERG
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...KULIK
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