251
FXUS63 KLBF 290523
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1223 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST SANDHILLS.
- THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSISTS EACH DAY TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY,
MAINLY DURING THE EVENING HOURS. HIGHS MOSTLY FROM THE UPPER
90S TO LOW 90S.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 146 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
TONIGHT...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST, AND AND UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. DEEP
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE NEAR 988MB ACROSS NORTHEAST CO, MOVING INTO
NORTHERN NE LATE TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE FAR NORTHWEST SANDHILLS OVERNIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE PANHANDLE LATER TONIGHT. LOWS COOLEST IN THE UPPER 50S FAR
NORTHWEST, TO THE LOW 70S FAR SOUTHEAST.
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS MONDAY, WHICH WILL PUSH A WEAK COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL BRING WESTERLY WINDS AND LOWER
DEWPOINTS FROM THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 50S ACROSS THE WEST. FOR FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS, THE FAR NORTHWEST SANDHILLS WILL SEE AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY FALL IN THE UPPER TEENS AND WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 30
MPH WILL CREATE ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS.
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXTEND FRONT NEAR SIOUX CITY IA THROUGH
COLBY KS BY EARLY EVENING. THIS WILL BE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA DURING THE EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT THE FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH AS A LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES, BRINGING A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS TO EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL NE.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 146 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
UPPER TROUGHING ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S, AND A STRONG UPPER RIDGE
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AND KEEP
WESTERN NEBRASKA IN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT EACH DAY. STORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE FOCUSED DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT, AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MEANDERS ACROSS THE REGION
EACH DAY. TUESDAY LOOKS TO HAVE THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.
DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE TRANSPORT FROM THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS INTO
THE REGION ON TUESDAY AS A DISTURBANCE LIFTS NORTHEAST. CHANCE TO
LIKELY POPS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST. LESSER CHANCES WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.
HIGHS 85 TO 90 TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY SHOULD RETURN TO THE UPPER 80S
TO LOW 90S THURSDAY AND THE LOW TO MID 90S FRIDAY, COOLING BACK TO
THE MID TO UPPER 80S BY NEXT SUNDAY.
LOOKING INTO FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOR INDEPENDENCE DAY WEEKEND, AN
UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY, AND CROSS THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST EACH DAY, THOUGH THE EXTENT OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY APPEARS LIMITED.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS
WOULD BE FAR NORTHERN NEBRASKA TERMINALS EARLY MONDAY MORNING,
AS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THIS COULD
LEAD TO PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES.
WINDS TRANSITION FROM SOUTHERLY TONIGHT TO NORTHWEST EARLY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON, AT 10 TO 15KTS. WINDS THEN STRENGTHEN FROM THE WEST
TOMORROW AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35KTS EXPECTED FOR
TERMINALS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROBERG
LONG TERM...ROBERG
AVIATION...BROWN
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