792
FXUS63 KLBF 240553
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1253 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- AFTER TONIGHT'S RAIN CHANCE, HOT WEATHER SETS IN AGAIN FOR THE
WEEKEND. SUNDAY COULD BE EXCESSIVELY HOT.
- A BIT COOLER AGAIN NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS BACK INTO THE 90S AND
AN INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 212 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
ECMWF ENS PWATS REMAIN IMPRESSIVE WITH AROUND 1.6" AREA WIDE. THIS
IS WELL ABOVE THE THE 90TH %TILE AS SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUES
TO MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE ROCKIES AND THEN TURNING EASTWARD
ACROSS THE PLAINS ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
CENTERED UPPER-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE. ONE MORE DISTURBANCE WILL
TRANSLATE EASTWARD THIS EVENING BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIAL
PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA. HOWEVER, PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE MORE
SCATTERED, AND NOT EXPECTING MUCH COVERAGE. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA, GENERALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY
183, WHERE COVERAGE COULD BE A LITTLE GREATER. AFTER TONIGHT, THE
CENTER OF THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK NORTHWARD, ESSENTIALLY
PUTTING AND END TO RAIN CHANCES. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO BE
TO WARM AGAIN FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 212 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD NORTHWARD FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING A RETURN TO HOT
TEMPERATURES. SUNDAY LOOKS TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE EXCEPTIONALLY
HOT. LREF/ENSEMBLE MEAN HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE WELL OVER 100
DEGREES AND EXCESSIVE HEAT HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED. MONDAY
CONTINUES TO LOOK HOT, BUT BY TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, THE
RIDGE SINKS BACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
A RETURN OF SEVERAL DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE HIGH.
MOISTURE CONTENT WILL REMAIN HIGH AS SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE
CONTINUES ROTATE NORTH AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WITH THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER, SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS SETTLING BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 90S.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR FOG TO DEVELOP TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SANDHILLS INTO
CENTRAL NEBRASKA INCLUDING KLBF TERMINAL.LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH LOW CIGS AND LOW VISIBILITY. FOR AREAS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SANDHILLS INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, HOWEVER
THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE MORNING
WITH LOWER CIGS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT OVER THE FORECAST
PERIOD, AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT,
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KTS THROUGH
THE DAY.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ SATURDAY TO 10 PM CDT
/9 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-
069>071-094.
SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...GOMEZ
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